Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-03-17
Resolves by: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.40. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.17 to 0.58. 72 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	40	40
0.42	36	76
0.43	23	99
0.45	20	119
0.47	30	149
0.48	40	189
0.50	8	197
0.54	10	207
0.56	10	217
0.57	30	247
0.58	40	287
0.60	20	307

Spread0.03Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	20	20
0.37	100	120
0.36	36	156
0.30	36	192
0.29	153	345
0.28	124	469
0.25	327	796
0.17	25	821
0.10	21	842
0.08	100	942
0.06	40	982
0.05	404	1,386

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	20	20
0.63	100	120
0.64	36	156
0.70	36	192
0.71	153	345
0.72	124	469
0.75	327	796
0.83	25	821
0.90	21	842
0.92	100	942
0.94	40	982
0.95	404	1,386

Spread0.03Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	40	40
0.58	36	76
0.57	23	99
0.55	20	119
0.53	30	149
0.52	40	189
0.50	8	197
0.46	10	207
0.44	10	217
0.43	30	247
0.42	40	287
0.40	20	307

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lissartter	Yes	200
haouibao	Yes	40
winexecutescale	Yes	25
p4ch3c0	Yes	20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454	Yes	20
jiannine	Yes	20
0xd00c…589e	Yes	19.17
Carabao	Yes	15.02
helicobite	Yes	15
mustbethewater	Yes	14.28
aHjCz	Yes	11.17
GuyFromTinder	Yes	10
tradetosurvive1	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	332.45
xtxpleasecallme	No	25.58
pootytherewardfarmer	No	19.1
LornaPredicts	No	12.74
bbd113d	No	10
ddaasdf	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:49:07	SELL	No	0.57	53	$30.06
22:36:21	BUY	Yes	0.37	10	$3.70
22:36:18	BUY	Yes	0.37	5	$1.85
22:36:16	BUY	Yes	0.37	5	$1.85
22:36:16	BUY	Yes	0.37	5	$1.85
13:42:24	SELL	Yes	0.36	20	$7.20
12:31:42	BUY	Yes	0.39	5	$1.95
12:21:49	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
12:20:55	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
08:38:04	BUY	No	0.55	37	$20.35
08:38:04	BUY	No	0.55	173	$95.15
08:38:04	BUY	No	0.5644444444	68	$38.10
08:38:04	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
05:51:55	SELL	Yes	0.39	25	$9.75
05:49:04	SELL	Yes	0.52	2	$0.95
05:48:30	BUY	No	0.47	5	$2.35
05:44:40	SELL	Yes	0.52	3	$1.65
05:44:27	BUY	No	0.46	5	$2.30
05:44:16	BUY	No	0.45	5	$2.25
05:43:55	BUY	No	0.47	5	$2.35
05:43:15	SELL	No	0.43	2	$0.79
05:43:04	SELL	No	0.53	20	$10.60
05:42:58	SELL	No	0.53	20	$10.60
05:42:54	SELL	No	0.54	20	$10.80
05:42:48	SELL	No	0.5228571429	35	$18.30