jiannine
0xf8fe0e44977e0b7917108c7291f26cc64826c42b
- Realised P&L
- $-72.83
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $30.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? · No | 0.500 | 0.455 | $9.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.395 | $7.90 | −$3.70 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? · No | 0.600 | 0.375 | $7.50 | −$4.50 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? · No | 0.380 | 0.270 | $5.40 | −$2.20 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.445 | $0.53 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.300Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$0.60at 0.490Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.880Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?
- +$0.32at 0.774Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
- +$0.22at 0.310Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:13 | Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.60 |
| 11-01 14:30 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? | SELL | 0.47 | $7.12 |
| 11-01 14:30 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.19 |
| 11-01 13:28 | Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.459 | $9.18 |
| 11-01 13:22 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 11-01 13:15 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 11-01 12:54 | Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.80 |
| 11-01 12:54 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.63 |
| 11-01 10:23 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 11-01 09:55 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 09:40 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.233 | $4.26 |
| 11-01 08:59 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.204 | $4.08 |