Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.033 to 0.056. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.053	46	46
0.054	30	76
0.055	15	91
0.056	100	191
0.057	39	230
0.061	120	350
0.076	45	395
0.077	50	445
0.095	26	471
0.096	201	672
0.100	388	1,060
0.183	150	1,210

Spread0.035Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	20	20
0.016	16	36
0.015	20	56
0.014	760	816
0.010	31	848
0.009	459	1,307
0.006	28	1,334
0.005	404	1,738
0.004	1,538	3,276
0.003	1,705	4,982
0.002	2,562	7,544
0.001	11,682	19,226

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	20	20
0.984	16	36
0.985	20	56
0.986	760	816
0.990	31	848
0.991	459	1,307
0.994	28	1,334
0.995	404	1,738
0.996	1,538	3,276
0.997	1,705	4,982
0.998	2,562	7,544
0.999	11,682	19,226

Spread0.035Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.947	46	46
0.946	30	76
0.945	15	91
0.944	100	191
0.943	39	230
0.939	120	350
0.924	45	395
0.923	50	445
0.905	26	471
0.904	201	672
0.900	388	1,060
0.817	150	1,210

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cowcat	Yes	1,527
LornaPredicts	Yes	738.81
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	679.68
Oklmntrader	Yes	388.07
Gaditima	Yes	345.76
ABC12345654321	Yes	335.18
purplegatto	Yes	281.7
arbdiscovery	Yes	249
cigarettes	Yes	140.62
monkey-brains	Yes	80.9
thecaricature	Yes	80
MartinaCandombe	Yes	63.6
GuyFromTinder	Yes	60.3
peepeepooppoop	Yes	53.72
Dr.PNL	Yes	42.84
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	37.5
0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589	Yes	33
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	12.22
thepolwinner	Yes	4.76
quietparcel	Yes	2.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:32:57	BUY	No	0.9689999995	20	$19.80
18:12:32	BUY	Yes	0.05962672	250	$14.91
18:51:17	SELL	Yes	0.02	0	$0.00
09:47:17	BUY	No	0.962	10	$9.66
09:47:17	BUY	No	0.962	10	$9.75
09:47:15	BUY	No	0.962	10	$9.73
09:47:15	BUY	No	0.962	9	$8.84
09:47:15	BUY	No	0.962	3	$3.26
09:46:08	SELL	Yes	0.038	0	$0.00
05:36:44	BUY	No	0.9598565341	70	$67.57
05:36:32	BUY	No	0.959	20	$19.16
05:33:29	BUY	No	0.9659999882	10	$10.00
05:32:44	SELL	Yes	0.034	8	$0.26
05:32:05	SELL	Yes	0.039	56	$2.17
05:32:00	SELL	Yes	0.039	20	$0.78
05:31:59	BUY	No	0.959	8	$7.25
05:31:56	SELL	Yes	0.041	18	$0.72
05:31:56	BUY	No	0.959	20	$19.18
05:31:51	SELL	Yes	0.046	2	$0.11
05:31:51	BUY	No	0.956	18	$16.73
05:31:50	SELL	Yes	0.045042	20	$0.90
05:31:48	BUY	No	0.9479999994	20	$18.81
05:31:48	BUY	No	0.9460029955	20	$18.95
05:31:47	SELL	Yes	0.055	76	$4.17
05:31:45	BUY	No	0.945	20	$18.90