thepolwinner
0x3078db4a9737866b4d6529f655025b3a20f80389
- Realised P&L
- $38.6k
- Volume
- $50.71M
- Markets traded
- 27,274
- Open portfolio
- $760.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded27,274
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.312Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$2.5kat 0.380Spread: Germany (-5.5)
- +$1.2kat 0.480MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$1.0kat 0.438Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$1.0kat 0.084Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:49 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0828656182 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 08:09 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.70 |
| 07-18 08:09 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.80 |
| 07-18 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.91 |
| 07-18 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.76 |
| 07-18 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.76 |
| 07-18 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.76 |
| 07-18 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.76 |
| 07-18 07:00 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.86 |
| 07-18 07:00 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.29 | $9.64 |
| 07-18 06:59 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 07-18 06:57 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | SELL | 0.042 | $9.64 |
| 07-18 06:57 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | SELL | 0.042 | $7.88 |
| 07-18 06:57 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | SELL | 0.042 | $9.64 |
| 07-18 06:57 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | SELL | 0.042 | $9.64 |