PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

thepolwinner

0x3078db4a9737866b4d6529f655025b3a20f80389

Realised P&L
$38.6k
Volume
$50.71M
Markets traded
27,274
Open portfolio
$760.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded27,274
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2360.850$68.78+$49.68
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.175$22.47+$9.63
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.1400.225$19.62+$7.41
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? · Yes0.0900.123$19.01+$5.16
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1670.135$18.96$4.43
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0800.100$18.07+$3.61
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.4800.570$15.80+$2.49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.255$14.93+$3.22
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.1450.125$14.18$2.25
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.4000.160$13.57$20.35
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1070.074$10.41$4.49
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.1100.077$10.18$4.27
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.051$9.20$5.26
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1200.070$8.40$5.92
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.0910.080$8.29$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:49Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.0828656182$500.00
07-18 08:09Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$0.70
07-18 08:09Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$11.80
07-18 07:06Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$1.91
07-18 07:06Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$12.76
07-18 07:06Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$12.76
07-18 07:06Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$12.76
07-18 07:06Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$12.76
07-18 07:00Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?BUY0.29$4.86
07-18 07:00Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?BUY0.29$9.64
07-18 06:59Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?BUY0.28$2.80
07-18 06:57Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?SELL0.042$9.64
07-18 06:57Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?SELL0.042$7.88
07-18 06:57Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?SELL0.042$9.64
07-18 06:57Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?SELL0.042$9.64