Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.033 to 0.064. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.045	20	20
0.046	95	115
0.047	133	248
0.048	15	263
0.050	82	345
0.051	20	365
0.052	361	726
0.058	471	1,197
0.059	100	1,297
0.060	60	1,357
0.068	110	1,467
0.072	354	1,821

Spread0.017Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	20	20
0.027	100	120
0.022	562	682
0.009	45	727
0.008	50	777
0.007	28	805
0.006	271	1,076
0.005	869	1,945
0.004	480	2,425
0.003	1,892	4,317
0.002	1,910	6,227
0.001	9,834	16,062

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	20	20
0.973	100	120
0.978	562	682
0.991	45	727
0.992	50	777
0.993	28	805
0.994	271	1,076
0.995	869	1,945
0.996	480	2,425
0.997	1,892	4,317
0.998	1,910	6,227
0.999	9,834	16,062

Spread0.017Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.955	20	20
0.954	95	115
0.953	133	248
0.952	15	263
0.950	82	345
0.949	20	365
0.948	361	726
0.942	471	1,197
0.941	100	1,297
0.940	60	1,357
0.932	110	1,467
0.928	354	1,821

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	578
Anjun	Yes	555
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	320.64
Oklmntrader	Yes	114
randomaccount7	Yes	104.24
animal.bean	Yes	76.81
BobbyBakedBeans	Yes	76
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	73.35
thecaricature	Yes	60
lissartter	Yes	50
planktonXD	Yes	50
JustBot	Yes	18
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	13.99
Haradwaith	Yes	6.87
IrthBirth	Yes	5.5
luckystone315	Yes	5
keybo	Yes	4.95
0x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-1783066720036	No	629.35
0xa5ef…2966	No	498.35
LarBotPrime	No	268.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:33:18	BUY	No	0.969999999	20	$19.80
15:13:54	BUY	No	0.9719999973	6	$5.83
05:31:18	BUY	No	0.9589999998	46	$44.11
20:18:05	BUY	No	0.959053215	75	$71.92
13:45:13	BUY	No	0.972	130	$126.59
15:42:49	BUY	Yes	0.045	38	$1.71
15:42:49	BUY	Yes	0.0455657895	76	$3.46
07:56:10	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
10:36:30	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
23:22:24	SELL	No	0.992	32	$31.93
17:38:05	SELL	No	0.993	51	$50.64
17:42:04	SELL	Yes	0.004	90	$0.36
13:50:01	BUY	Yes	0.016	63	$1.00
13:49:59	BUY	Yes	0.016	63	$1.00
19:54:44	BUY	Yes	0.0329999999	31	$1.02
08:55:55	SELL	Yes	0.04	21	$0.84
01:26:31	SELL	No	0.95	0	$0.19
19:40:45	SELL	Yes	0.04	200	$8.00
19:40:42	SELL	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
19:40:37	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.40
19:40:33	SELL	Yes	0.04	40	$1.60
19:40:33	SELL	Yes	0.04	700	$28.00
19:40:31	BUY	No	0.96	120	$115.20
19:40:31	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20
19:40:31	BUY	No	0.95	1,310	$1244.50