randomaccount7
0x88bbeb3b6aad01614823f740c0b5d770da29c12b
- Realised P&L
- $18.3k
- Volume
- $329.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $31.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.160 | 0.125 | $26.3k | −$7.3k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.135 | $4.1k | +$458.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $550.00 | −$450.00 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $466.06 | −$18.64 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.075 | $103.95 | −$90.09 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.100 | $86.88 | −$43.44 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.690 | $22.08 | +$17.28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.080 | $8.34 | −$7.30 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.125 | $7.22 | −$4.33 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.885 | $1.68 | +$1.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.6kat 0.080Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
- +$-1.9kat 0.100Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 06:26 | Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? | SELL | 0.0101028174 | $212.93 |
| 05-11 05:58 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.90 |
| 05-11 05:58 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.14 |
| 05-11 05:58 | Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.14 | $92.40 |
| 05-11 05:57 | Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.13 | $91.00 |
| 05-11 05:54 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $518.53 |
| 05-11 05:42 | Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? | BUY | 0.0925904348 | $99.64 |
| 05-06 08:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.17 | $980.62 |
| 04-12 06:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.12 | $442.12 |
| 04-07 22:17 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.5k |
| 03-03 11:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.16 | $29.58 |
| 01-23 00:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.21 | $1.6k |
| 01-21 04:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2 | $248.49 |
| 01-19 11:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.19 | $58.71 |