IrthBirth
0xc0922d43e7d1e87a0a07130cde64cdb8981a5428
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $215.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,006
- Open portfolio
- $511.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,006
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.80at 0.327Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee
- +$72.79at 0.120Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$65.24at 0.188Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
- +$43.72at 0.696Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
- +$43.70at 0.335Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parry
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 08:04 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.12 |
| 04-28 08:03 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.12 |
| 04-28 08:03 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.12 |
| 04-28 07:27 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.54 |
| 04-28 07:08 | Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.66 |
| 04-27 21:32 | Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.42 |
| 04-27 15:59 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.45 |
| 04-27 11:11 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.95 |
| 04-27 11:10 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.95 |
| 04-27 11:10 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.95 |
| 04-26 21:48 | Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.723 | $1.33 |
| 04-26 21:48 | Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.723 | $3.68 |
| 04-26 21:47 | Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.66 |
| 04-26 18:53 | Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.07 |
| 04-25 18:07 | Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.07 |