PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.042. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.021 to 0.067. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0748080
0.07530110
0.07720130
0.11320150
0.12020170
0.35020190
0.61920210
0.64675285
0.64712297
0.710250547
0.760378925
0.7996930

Spread0.065Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0092020
0.0085070
0.006878
0.0051088
0.0041199
0.003186285
0.002316601
0.0017101,311

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9912020
0.9925070
0.994878
0.9951088
0.9961199
0.997186285
0.998316601
0.9997101,311

Spread0.065Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9268080
0.92530110
0.92320130
0.88720150
0.88020170
0.65020190
0.38120210
0.35475285
0.35312297
0.290250547
0.240378925
0.2016930

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes670.91
LornaPredictsYes111.61
PPMTYes30
velorotYes20
Mojito9Yes16
mustbethewaterYes10
0xa5ef…2966No535.2
TheImpasseNo90
e46m3No82.71
monkey-brainsNo50.47
cigarettesNo40
phaseone-BIGNo25
hadarhaddadNo15.57
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396No9.58
Norso21No5
0xE85D8DDD47906a2f644908281C427c9176C84E7F-1791087052329No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:56:04SELLYes0.020166574136$0.73
10:11:30BUYYes0.08625$2.15
10:02:07SELLNo0.96345$43.79
05:03:37SELLYes0.0360$0.01
04:58:39BUYNo0.96421$20.24
04:58:39BUYNo0.96425$24.10
04:58:39BUYNo0.9645$4.82
02:10:01BUYNo0.9649$8.19
02:09:59BUYNo0.9648$7.44
02:59:48BUYNo0.9645$4.82
13:38:42BUYNo0.962999999451$49.11
08:58:33BUYNo0.96420$19.28
22:06:14SELLNo0.9722$21.82
13:35:42SELLYes0.02930$0.87
19:35:39BUYNo0.974999916510$9.34
19:29:12BUYNo0.97199999734$4.29
19:29:09BUYNo0.9628$27.20
19:29:09BUYNo0.9610$9.60
18:55:20BUYNo0.9613$12.29
21:21:48SELLNo0.96619$18.23
14:51:48SELLYes0.03780$2.96
14:51:48BUYNo0.9625$4.81
12:29:50BUYNo0.97619$18.54
10:50:37BUYNo0.96356$53.93
19:34:36BUYNo0.96320$19.26