PolyBot

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Traders

TheImpasse

0x2824ab453e1bcc26d7fc44fcbf58d07cb8e2a954

Realised P&L
$-141.9k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
2,032
Open portfolio
$14.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,032
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · No0.8680.979$3.4k+$380.90
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.945$897.75+$14.25
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? · No0.9561.000$872.56+$37.67
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3290.417$601.62+$127.43
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? · No0.3660.295$477.97−$115.19
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.7640.694$456.32−$46.46
Will Connor Wood win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · Yes0.0970.070$441.69−$168.88
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1470.055$426.08−$716.32
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · Yes0.3080.590$378.45+$180.77
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1220.055$370.10−$450.54
Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? · No0.3190.355$355.33+$35.84
Will BTS headline Coachella 2027? · No0.8630.947$312.35+$27.43
Will Taylor Swift headline Coachella 2027? · No0.9140.991$230.79+$17.82
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat? · No0.9550.975$226.53+$4.60
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat? · No0.9500.982$225.51+$7.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:05Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.2359439252$25.25
10-27 16:10Will Drake headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.549968254$34.65
10-27 16:07Will Drake headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.5090652406$95.20
10-27 16:02Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.3501896773$84.74
10-27 15:55Will Drake headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.5224390244$85.68
10-24 08:24Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.3723565755$50.63
10-24 06:54Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.3667346939$35.94
10-22 15:51Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.3857211616$72.13
10-22 15:49Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.3852683168$77.82
10-21 02:53Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.063$1.89
10-21 02:38Will BTS headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.892$35.68
10-21 02:35Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.22$50.82
10-21 01:43Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.3664982374$31.19
10-18 17:15Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.4125298507$55.28
10-17 22:08Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.23$6.90