TheImpasse
0x2824ab453e1bcc26d7fc44fcbf58d07cb8e2a954
- Realised P&L
- $-141.9k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 2,032
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,032
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.0kat 0.429Will Geno Ploeger be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?
- +$13.8kat 0.463Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$9.0kat 0.652Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
- +$7.3kat 0.662Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$4.0kat 0.561Will Guillermo Rodriguez be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:05 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.2359439252 | $25.25 |
| 10-27 16:10 | Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.549968254 | $34.65 |
| 10-27 16:07 | Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.5090652406 | $95.20 |
| 10-27 16:02 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.3501896773 | $84.74 |
| 10-27 15:55 | Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.5224390244 | $85.68 |
| 10-24 08:24 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.3723565755 | $50.63 |
| 10-24 06:54 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.3667346939 | $35.94 |
| 10-22 15:51 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.3857211616 | $72.13 |
| 10-22 15:49 | Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.3852683168 | $77.82 |
| 10-21 02:53 | Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.063 | $1.89 |
| 10-21 02:38 | Will BTS headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.892 | $35.68 |
| 10-21 02:35 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $50.82 |
| 10-21 01:43 | Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.3664982374 | $31.19 |
| 10-18 17:15 | Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.4125298507 | $55.28 |
| 10-17 22:08 | Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |