TheImpasse
0x2824ab453e1bcc26d7fc44fcbf58d07cb8e2a954
- Realised P&L
- $-169.8k
- Volume
- $966.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,780
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,780
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.652Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
- +$4.0kat 0.870Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.908Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
- +$2.2kat 0.744Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.879Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:21 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.361 | $134.65 |
| 09-17 03:27 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.361 | $111.55 |
| 09-16 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 09:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $65.52 |
| 09-16 08:26 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.3250461878 | $58.83 |
| 09-14 05:25 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.1792555398 | $34.06 |
| 09-14 05:24 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.177 | $17.70 |
| 09-13 21:15 | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.1775626923 | $138.50 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.2021222924 | $111.98 |
| 09-13 21:02 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.194723833 | $102.62 |
| 09-12 23:58 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.52 |
| 09-12 23:48 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.221173913 | $30.52 |
| 09-12 23:45 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.218104717 | $11.56 |
| 09-09 21:42 | Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.9735506173 | $394.29 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.375 | $10.88 |