phaseone-BIG
0x9f82b4b716e8621b93ec2c0e03010bc564667131
- Realised P&L
- $-197.31
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.16at 0.700Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$55.73at 0.291Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$16.69at 0.510Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
- +$12.16at 0.270Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- +$8.43at 0.290Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:58 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0466422142 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 12:35 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.0167384614 | $1.28 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.16 |
| 11-01 10:42 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:50 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $6.47 |
| 11-01 09:38 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 06:57 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0464280551 | $2.81 |
| 11-01 06:57 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.18 |
| 11-01 06:42 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0435946655 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 06:42 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0449218384 | $2.87 |
| 11-01 06:37 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.36 |
| 11-01 06:34 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.65 |
| 10-31 00:22 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $2.36 |
| 10-31 00:22 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999999 | $2.45 |
| 10-31 00:19 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.44 |