Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 18% or more?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.039. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.054. Range 0.039 to 0.225. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	89	89
0.373	75	164
0.374	230	394
0.376	5	399
0.379	20	419
0.508	150	569
0.509	20	589
0.645	60	649
0.649	20	669
0.650	250	919
0.700	365	1,284
0.750	438	1,721

Spread0.002Mid0.039

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.038	38	38
0.023	11	49
0.013	20	69
0.012	100	169
0.011	40	209
0.009	8	217
0.008	139	356
0.007	233	589
0.004	15	604
0.003	547	1,152
0.002	519	1,670
0.001	6,607	8,277

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.962	38	38
0.977	11	49
0.987	20	69
0.988	100	169
0.989	40	209
0.991	8	217
0.992	139	356
0.993	233	589
0.996	15	604
0.997	547	1,152
0.998	519	1,670
0.999	6,607	8,277

Spread0.002Mid0.961

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	89	89
0.627	75	164
0.626	230	394
0.624	5	399
0.621	20	419
0.492	150	569
0.491	20	589
0.355	60	649
0.351	20	669
0.350	250	919
0.300	365	1,284
0.250	438	1,721

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
mariacryptoss	Yes	460.62
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	447.1
shiifoo	Yes	197
LornaPredicts	Yes	176.56
0x7a3FB8C5aD2aF4C621B2138D9579410343976712-1766367891961	Yes	159.13
sweetj	Yes	100
Dr.PNL	Yes	96.24
.Menthe	Yes	50
winexecutescale	Yes	16
GuyFromTinder	Yes	10
TENETENET	Yes	10
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	5.93
Numitus1994	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
soliton137	Yes	1.6
crossFiter	Yes	1.12
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,085.92
fkpa	No	475.98
74-75	No	86.97
resilience26	No	37.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:26:15	SELL	No	0.956	20	$19.12
08:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.06	12	$0.72
02:51:42	BUY	No	0.9179999985	9	$8.33
19:48:01	BUY	Yes	0.091	30	$2.73
19:40:09	BUY	Yes	0.106	96	$10.20
02:32:15	BUY	No	0.9453822923	2	$2.00
02:32:15	BUY	No	0.945	58	$54.81
20:31:43	BUY	Yes	0.127	100	$12.71
19:06:28	BUY	Yes	0.109	20	$2.19
18:39:51	SELL	Yes	0.045	1	$0.04
18:39:50	BUY	No	0.947	20	$18.94
06:40:32	BUY	No	0.946	5	$4.73
01:43:41	SELL	Yes	0.053	15	$0.79
03:46:20	SELL	No	0.9559442857	98	$93.68
13:35:42	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
00:29:41	SELL	Yes	0.04	25	$1.00
09:57:47	SELL	No	0.953	9	$8.58
22:49:29	BUY	Yes	0.037	55	$2.03
19:15:10	SELL	No	0.938	9	$8.44
19:00:14	SELL	Yes	0.088	15	$1.32
04:31:35	BUY	No	0.912	5	$4.56
02:35:59	BUY	No	0.913	1	$1.00
02:35:59	BUY	No	0.9129999917	9	$8.22
02:35:58	BUY	No	0.913	10	$9.13
17:28:19	BUY	Yes	0.027	27	$0.74