PolyBot

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Traders

soliton137

0x7b180973e6f69caf08a3d96d90c11122ae7eefae

Realised P&L
$-42.54
Volume
$180.7k
Markets traded
4,716
Open portfolio
$154.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,716
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2000.989$13.07+$10.42
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · Yes0.1110.575$10.28+$8.29
Will Magnus Carlsen Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.0670.291$5.83+$4.50
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · Yes0.1110.300$5.78+$3.64
Will Faker Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.0670.347$5.20+$4.20
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.0210.627$5.20+$5.02
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000? · Yes0.1430.320$5.01+$2.77
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000? · Yes0.1430.225$3.52+$1.29
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 650,000 and 700,000? · Yes0.1430.219$3.43+$1.19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? · No0.7000.840$3.41+$0.57
Will Radovan Višković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.185$2.49+$2.26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.0830.275$2.24+$1.56
Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · Yes0.0230.425$2.13+$2.01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0770.265$1.88+$1.33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 15%-18%? · No0.9400.906$1.85−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 02:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 12?SELL0.995$2.17
10-12 02:03Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 11?SELL0.999$5.99
10-12 02:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?SELL0.999$8.49
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?BUY0.001$3.05
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?BUY0.0399889833$3.08
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13?BUY0.06$0.84
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 11?BUY0.003$0.20
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?BUY0.24$1.20
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?BUY0.36$3.06
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.47$2.82
10-11 13:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?SELL0.996$9.96
10-11 13:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?SELL0.999$9.99
10-11 12:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13?BUY0.26$1.04
10-11 12:00Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.48$1.05
10-11 12:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?BUY0.001$1.06