soliton137
0x7b180973e6f69caf08a3d96d90c11122ae7eefae
- Realised P&L
- $31.6k
- Volume
- $147.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,466
- Open portfolio
- $248.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded4,466
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$346.09at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$310.14at 0.562Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$290.96at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$279.34at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$251.15at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.90 |
| 09-18 16:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 16:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.90 |
| 09-18 16:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.38 |
| 09-18 15:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.942 | $4.71 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Will A Just Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 14:48 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $7.88 |
| 09-18 14:45 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.17 |
| 09-18 14:45 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.27 |
| 09-18 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.77 |
| 09-18 14:34 | Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 09-18 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.39 |
| 09-18 14:14 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $2.43 |
| 09-18 14:04 | Will CPRF win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.972 | $2.43 |
| 09-18 14:04 | Will A Just Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |