PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

74-75

0x780350929eff94a9ce9c93d2f19b12018f53b7d2

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$272.7k
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$35.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat? · No0.4200.415$2.6k−$30.93
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? · No0.7600.555$1.7k−$615.00
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? · Yes0.6680.470$1.4k−$600.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more? · No0.8700.978$1.3k+$143.10
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? · No0.7600.815$1.3k+$85.58
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico? · South Dakota0.8600.605$1.2k−$510.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? · No0.8570.814$975.30−$51.52
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat? · No0.5800.475$947.34−$209.41
Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? · No0.7990.736$941.71−$80.61
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election? · No0.8600.974$900.33+$104.97
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? · No0.8500.810$817.05−$40.35
Will Peggy Flanagan run 6 to 9 points behind Amy Klobuchar? · Yes0.2700.175$778.01−$422.35
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7800.640$768.00−$168.00
Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No0.8600.955$711.63+$70.79
Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.7100.590$708.00−$144.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?SELL0.14$23.62
10-29 16:00Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?BUY0.47$10.34
10-29 04:20Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?SELL0.59$1.1k
10-24 03:46Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?SELL0.51$192.27
10-24 03:46Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?SELL0.78$15.60
10-24 03:46Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?SELL0.82$223.04
10-24 03:46Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?SELL0.63$31.50
10-24 03:46Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?SELL0.65$621.40
10-24 03:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.34$19.04
10-24 03:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?SELL0.9555502222$645.00
10-24 03:46Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?SELL0.7346214571$736.09
10-24 03:46Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?SELL0.9686141509$205.35
10-24 03:46Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?SELL0.41$17.22
10-24 03:46Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?SELL0.68$49.64
10-24 03:46Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?SELL0.8186695187$306.18