Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.298. down 0.048 over the period, from 0.346. Range 0.080 to 0.513. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.299	434	434
0.300	50	484
0.303	49	533
0.309	110	643
0.310	21	664
0.319	124	788
0.415	20	808
0.416	254	1,062
0.473	40	1,102
0.632	225	1,327
0.633	35	1,362
0.635	70	1,432

Spread0.001Mid0.298

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.298	478	478
0.297	50	528
0.294	57	585
0.288	110	695
0.280	21	716
0.278	21	737
0.116	50	787
0.115	20	807
0.113	223	1,030
0.061	637	1,667
0.060	33,333	35,000
0.050	50,000	85,000

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.702	478	478
0.703	50	528
0.706	57	585
0.712	110	695
0.720	21	716
0.722	21	737
0.884	50	787
0.885	20	807
0.887	223	1,030
0.939	637	1,667
0.940	33,333	35,000
0.950	50,000	85,000

Spread0.001Mid0.702

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.701	434	434
0.700	50	484
0.697	49	533
0.691	110	643
0.690	21	664
0.681	124	788
0.585	20	808
0.584	254	1,062
0.527	40	1,102
0.368	225	1,327
0.367	35	1,362
0.365	70	1,432

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fkpa	Yes	449.29
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	317.35
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	59.3
LornaPredicts	Yes	47.87
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	34.55
K80PRO	Yes	25
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	19.61
pppnn	Yes	10.16
ehajlzbZEJMKFEBZjmkf	Yes	10
Huguenots	Yes	9
winexecutescale	Yes	6.28
lolzzzlol	Yes	1.13
0xa5ef…2966	No	558.57
AnonymousUsername	No	305.44
PK123	No	50
cigarettes	No	40
0xa41099a9f56Eb05CA294f76e15242BEC85940e3e-1791822983135	No	9
shiifoo	No	8
V4Mb7vN6JDACV1	No	8
WarrenBluffett	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:17:01	BUY	No	0.708	25	$17.70
15:36:33	SELL	Yes	0.305	5	$1.52
14:03:46	BUY	No	0.654	45	$29.43
14:03:46	BUY	No	0.652	75	$48.90
08:10:24	BUY	No	0.7329999812	9	$6.60
04:49:31	BUY	Yes	0.339	8	$2.71
09:25:57	SELL	Yes	0.0186993007	14	$0.27
13:01:58	SELL	Yes	0.007	8	$0.06
02:37:35	BUY	No	0.696	20	$13.92
21:31:08	BUY	No	0.721	20	$14.42
21:02:26	BUY	Yes	0.153	20	$3.06
16:12:31	BUY	Yes	0.189	12	$2.27
16:12:31	BUY	Yes	0.189	8	$1.51
14:38:02	BUY	No	0.743	20	$14.86
07:46:22	BUY	No	0.683	20	$13.66
07:44:26	BUY	Yes	0.237	20	$4.74
18:20:38	BUY	No	0.6989999827	14	$10.00
18:20:38	BUY	No	0.6989999827	14	$10.00
18:20:38	BUY	No	0.6989999827	14	$10.00
13:18:36	SELL	No	0.69	0	$0.01
09:22:26	BUY	Yes	0.111	20	$2.22
06:28:36	BUY	No	0.717	20	$14.34
06:28:35	SELL	No	0.519	1	$0.67
02:01:38	SELL	No	0.41	0	$0.09
02:00:42	BUY	No	0.5639998872	2	$1.00