0xa41099a9f56Eb05CA294f76e15242BEC85940e3e-1791822983135
0xa41099a9f56eb05ca294f76e15242bec85940e3e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.70at 0.840Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$14.44at 0.544Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
- +$13.88at 0.590Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
- +$3.97at 0.864Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?
- +$3.30at 0.300Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:15 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.67 | $19.43 |
| 11-01 23:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.52 |
| 11-01 23:08 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.24 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.858 | $13.73 |
| 11-01 18:52 | Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.56 |
| 11-01 18:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.59 | $6.99 |
| 11-01 18:27 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 11-01 18:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.8595714286 | $30.09 |
| 11-01 18:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.77 | $18.48 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.88 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.20 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $16.28 |