PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa41099a9f56Eb05CA294f76e15242BEC85940e3e-1791822983135

0xa41099a9f56eb05ca294f76e15242bec85940e3e

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
267
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded267
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.67$19.43
11-01 23:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?SELL0.21$2.52
11-01 23:08Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.16$2.40
11-01 23:03Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?SELL0.62$3.10
11-01 20:29Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.77$9.24
11-01 20:29Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?SELL0.858$13.73
11-01 18:52Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?BUY0.72$16.56
11-01 18:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?SELL0.59$6.99
11-01 18:27Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.24$2.88
11-01 18:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.8595714286$30.09
11-01 18:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?SELL0.77$19.25
11-01 17:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.77$18.48
11-01 17:40Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.16$10.88
11-01 17:40Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.15$10.20
11-01 17:40Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.22$16.28