0xb7fb5ad5d1e0d8ac6a2940d3681897aa95b86ab5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.03at 0.190Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?
- +$2.20at 0.710Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 12%-15%?
- +$1.34at 0.686Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 25%-30%?
- +$1.20at 0.620Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 10%-15%?
- +$0.00at 0.710Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?