PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb7fb5ad5d1e0d8ac6a2940d3681897aa95b86ab5

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? · No0.8470.816$66.53−$2.53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%? · No0.7870.737$60.75−$4.12
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? · Yes0.1750.361$58.76+$30.31
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8900.855$56.87−$2.33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%? · No0.7470.750$44.19+$0.21
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1900.195$41.06+$1.05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2390.230$37.07−$1.45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 50%-55%? · No0.6800.720$35.13+$1.95
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? · No0.8000.700$35.00−$5.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 5%-10%? · No0.8600.795$33.38−$2.73
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.7950.825$33.18+$1.21
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? · No0.7800.840$31.00+$2.21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7000.790$30.39+$3.46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.6640.640$29.37−$1.12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%? · No0.7000.670$27.76−$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.