Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.72. up 0.21 over the period, from 0.52. Range 0.52 to 0.90. 42 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	109	109
0.80	16	125
0.82	500	625
0.86	55	680
0.87	54	733
0.91	40	773
0.92	7	780
0.93	103	884
0.94	83	967
0.95	100	1,067
0.96	150	1,217
0.97	50	1,267

Spread0.05Mid0.72

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	95	95
0.63	300	395
0.61	11	407
0.60	96	503
0.56	25	527
0.50	20	548
0.49	20	568
0.26	80	648
0.15	67	715
0.14	113	827
0.13	500	1,327
0.01	100	1,427

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	95	95
0.37	300	395
0.39	11	407
0.40	96	503
0.44	25	527
0.50	20	548
0.51	20	568
0.74	80	648
0.85	67	715
0.86	113	827
0.87	500	1,327
0.99	100	1,427

Spread0.05Mid0.28

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	109	109
0.20	16	125
0.18	500	625
0.14	55	680
0.13	54	733
0.09	40	773
0.08	7	780
0.07	103	884
0.06	83	967
0.05	100	1,067
0.04	150	1,217
0.03	50	1,267

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KiruaTrading	Yes	79.99
BAO95889	Yes	59.6
0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265	Yes	53.9
Sithmaul	Yes	47.92
pppnn	Yes	40
Pitosyflautas	Yes	32.06
acc42020	Yes	24.91
2B9S	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	11.37
HE110W0R1D	Yes	1
gmeowcl	No	95.93
Poivre	No	84.98
GuyFromTinder	No	79.62
0xbB979F0fDc1DE93Bbc7d7AA85a8f9d8B4d73D6b9-1785774674355	No	45
0x2202…da92	No	20
maomao228	No	20
pootytherewardfarmer	No	15
JTRcz	No	11.73

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:05:08	SELL	Yes	0.64	0	$0.20
09:18:23	BUY	Yes	0.7274211503	54	$39.21
09:15:44	SELL	Yes	0.67	14	$9.33
09:11:27	SELL	No	0.28	1	$0.18
08:55:39	BUY	Yes	0.66	5	$3.31
08:53:35	BUY	No	0.3525187645	31	$10.80
08:53:33	SELL	Yes	0.68	1	$0.34
08:53:32	SELL	Yes	0.68	50	$34.00
05:39:33	BUY	Yes	0.64	40	$25.60
05:38:18	SELL	Yes	0.63	0	$0.20
05:38:17	SELL	Yes	0.7	20	$14.00
04:14:42	SELL	Yes	0.72	1	$0.48
04:14:41	SELL	Yes	0.71	42	$29.82
02:51:43	SELL	No	0.27	6	$1.64
02:21:41	SELL	Yes	0.72	19	$13.68
01:51:41	SELL	Yes	0.71	3	$1.87
01:51:40	SELL	Yes	0.760070922	141	$107.17
01:51:40	BUY	No	0.269375	20	$5.39
00:31:32	SELL	Yes	0.77	0	$0.25
00:31:31	SELL	Yes	0.78	20	$15.60
00:31:04	BUY	Yes	0.72	32	$23.03
00:29:10	BUY	Yes	0.72	6	$4.32
00:28:40	BUY	Yes	0.6847058824	17	$11.64
00:28:25	BUY	Yes	0.68	5	$3.40
00:27:28	SELL	No	0.37	2	$0.91