0xbB979F0fDc1DE93Bbc7d7AA85a8f9d8B4d73D6b9-1785774674355
0xbb979f0fdc1de93bbc7d7aa85a8f9d8b4d73d6b9
- Realised P&L
- $-249.98
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.68at 0.979Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$26.00at 0.870Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$24.00at 0.880Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$15.00at 0.850Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$13.26at 0.981Giants vs. Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:26 | Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.62 |
| 09-22 01:40 | Giants vs. Rams | SELL | 0.9439132034 | $223.26 |
| 09-22 01:07 | Giants vs. Rams | SELL | 0.035 | $1.71 |
| 09-21 22:53 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 09-19 01:52 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 20:43 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.25 |
| 09-18 16:02 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 02:21 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.9813898209 | $434.63 |
| 09-11 00:50 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.469999998 | $2.40 |
| 09-11 00:48 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.469999998 | $2.40 |
| 09-11 00:47 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.469999998 | $2.40 |
| 09-10 23:28 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999576 | $1.40 |
| 08-17 20:54 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.979201728 | $211.93 |
| 07-30 22:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9570326221 | $302.76 |
| 07-16 23:28 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |