JTRcz
0x1c641d4fcf792ba3dd3a3bf36a372c99a5695611
- Realised P&L
- $-153.26
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $45.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · No | 0.670 | 0.790 | $15.80 | +$2.40 |
| Clavicular charges dropped by October 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.625 | $12.50 | −$2.90 |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.470 | 0.417 | $8.34 | −$1.06 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.295 | $5.90 | −$3.50 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.360 | 0.275 | $3.23 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.14at 0.560Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
- +$50.37at 0.410US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$23.08at 0.520US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
- +$15.56at 0.720Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
- +$11.67at 0.300Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 22:25 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $46.15 |
| 04-30 23:17 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3369999977 | $70.00 |
| 04-30 23:14 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7199999974 | $200.00 |
| 04-30 22:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 22:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9289999989 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 22:34 | AWS service disrupted by April 30? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 22:27 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.49 | $107.47 |
| 04-11 00:58 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.86 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.02 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.07 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $10.14 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $10.53 |
| 04-11 00:47 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.606 | $6.93 |