PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-18
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.334. down 0.061 over the period, from 0.395. Range 0.107 to 0.415. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.50866
0.509915
0.5291631
0.5482455
0.559200255
0.6956261
0.72726287
0.77940327
0.78010337
0.92895432
0.92957489
0.93123512

Spread0.358Mid0.329

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.150800800
0.006100900
0.00560960
0.0021061,066
0.0012,3513,417

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.850800800
0.994100900
0.99560960
0.9981061,066
0.9992,3513,417

Spread0.358Mid0.671

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.49266
0.491915
0.4711631
0.4522455
0.441200255
0.3056261
0.27326287
0.22140327
0.22010337
0.07295432
0.07157489
0.06923512

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,858
M8880Yes325.37
lightsout912Yes100
AJSVYes80.8
LovelyPandaYes24
LonelyScissorsYes16.37
a5533Yes9.14
bjproloYes8
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes6.35
romanew-1-newYes5.9
chainfishYes5
mildwindow27Yes2.95
plainfolderYes2.04
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01
ci4gaNo274.95
infoowlNo40
LavinceyNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:21:27BUYYes0.41407489376$2.63
16:49:40BUYYes0.20256120$4.05
14:35:16BUYNo0.830109333996$80.00
14:35:07BUYNo0.79759$46.66
14:35:07BUYYes0.202999999656$11.33
09:47:55BUYYes0.035$0.15
07:32:31SELLYes0.0142$0.42
06:06:09BUYNo0.985$4.90
22:58:54SELLYes0.0813$1.04
22:46:13BUYYes0.689999960913$9.00
01:24:42BUYNo0.680401324410$7.00
01:24:33BUYNo0.669999999540$27.00
18:06:18BUYYes0.78160$124.80
18:02:06BUYYes0.7713$10.19
17:55:33BUYYes0.7440$29.60
17:55:25BUYYes0.7310$7.30
17:55:18BUYYes0.7210$7.20
17:55:07BUYYes0.716$4.17
17:54:54BUYYes0.6322$13.62
17:54:40BUYYes0.6260$36.96
17:53:33BUYYes0.15$0.50
17:30:46BUYNo0.955$4.77
11:08:25BUYNo0.9100310$9.10
11:08:24BUYNo0.916$5.46
11:08:21BUYNo0.915$4.74