Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.20 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.09 to 0.38. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	1,405	1,405
0.20	539	1,944
0.21	109	2,053
0.22	257	2,310
0.35	60	2,370
0.36	230	2,600
0.38	5	2,605
0.43	9	2,614
0.58	113	2,726
0.59	500	3,226
0.80	30	3,256
0.85	5	3,261

Spread0.02Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	378	378
0.16	287	665
0.14	247	912
0.12	56	968
0.11	50	1,018
0.10	260	1,278
0.07	78	1,356
0.06	83	1,439
0.05	100	1,539
0.04	125	1,664
0.03	173	1,837
0.02	20	1,857

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	378	378
0.84	287	665
0.86	247	912
0.88	56	968
0.89	50	1,018
0.90	260	1,278
0.93	78	1,356
0.94	83	1,439
0.95	100	1,539
0.96	125	1,664
0.97	173	1,837
0.98	20	1,857

Spread0.02Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	1,405	1,405
0.80	539	1,944
0.79	109	2,053
0.78	257	2,310
0.65	60	2,370
0.64	230	2,600
0.62	5	2,605
0.57	9	2,614
0.42	113	2,726
0.41	500	3,226
0.20	30	3,256
0.15	5	3,261

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	663.76
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	523.73
wuwuwuwuwu11	Yes	487.99
AMAM13	Yes	63.83
planktonXD	Yes	62.8
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	60
rocky42002	Yes	50.38
0xf550…ae8c	Yes	50
Carabao	Yes	40
pppnn	Yes	40
ronov3	Yes	16.16
LornaPredicts	Yes	15.18
0xe583c8379ea6ff17d2347b7f25b8ad6d077681e6-1792798935647	Yes	11.44
adsfasdf113	Yes	10
asdfll1	Yes	10
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5
0x28a6…d399	Yes	3
bigdihhh888	Yes	2.92
recallcp	No	580.2
The-Joker	No	546.79

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:40:48	BUY	No	0.82	19	$15.83
00:30:10	BUY	No	0.8199999967	24	$20.00
00:19:58	BUY	No	0.8199999967	24	$20.00
00:16:46	BUY	No	0.82	100	$82.00
18:53:58	SELL	No	0.81	24	$19.28
12:09:18	BUY	No	0.8199999929	8	$6.90
09:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.19	39	$7.41
09:13:16	SELL	No	0.81	50	$40.82
04:32:43	SELL	No	0.81	11	$8.91
04:30:19	BUY	No	0.82	35	$28.29
04:29:57	BUY	No	0.8099998159	4	$3.30
04:29:55	BUY	No	0.7742482094	367	$284.30
04:26:57	SELL	No	0.75	49	$36.88
04:26:49	SELL	Yes	0.24	1	$0.20
04:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.2175462803	43	$9.46
04:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.1917195376	500	$95.85
04:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.2	35	$7.00
04:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.2	7	$1.47
04:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.2267536418	53	$12.00
18:28:12	SELL	Yes	0.16	52	$8.33
16:09:57	SELL	No	0.81	3	$2.37
15:46:22	BUY	Yes	0.175	50	$8.75
15:40:09	SELL	Yes	0.2094263063	373	$78.19
15:30:54	BUY	No	0.79	50	$39.50
15:14:27	SELL	Yes	0.24	50	$12.00