PolyBot

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Traders

recallcp

0x13b6891668f4bbea111235e2a83e7dfa381158c7

Realised P&L
$445.42
Volume
$28.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8020.815$2.5k+$38.70
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · Yes0.8170.890$2.0k+$165.91
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.7420.675$1.2k−$117.30
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.6210.785$546.96+$114.22
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9060.955$521.43+$26.53
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5480.735$496.76+$126.33
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8380.815$472.86−$13.55
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.8140.905$441.41+$44.59
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.9440.992$322.55+$15.55
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher? · Yes0.8160.870$264.71+$16.34
Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026? · No0.5340.715$88.66+$22.46
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.6890.745$74.24+$5.56
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8890.948$52.11+$3.21
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? · No0.7700.815$26.22+$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:27Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6883630435$63.33
11-01 14:51Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9078651685$404.00
11-01 14:47Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.77$24.77
10-30 12:14Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?SELL0.55$11.47
10-29 17:24Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5338709677$66.20
10-29 15:35Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.79$35.55
10-29 15:32Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.778$19.45
10-29 15:32Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.76$15.20
10-29 15:32Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.76$3.80
10-29 15:30Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.742$18.55
10-29 14:24Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.78$46.80
10-29 13:22Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.982$49.10
10-29 13:21Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9369711111$84.33
10-29 13:20Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9793719881$325.57
10-29 13:06Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.29$6.05