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0x18e9cef9a862299b13dd946b23dda6b6de84cf64
- Realised P&L
- $393.79
- Volume
- $69.3k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $332.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%? · No | 0.920 | 0.810 | $81.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%? · No | 0.951 | 0.753 | $75.35 | −$19.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.235 | $69.87 | +$4.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.240 | $58.86 | +$1.24 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.175 | $47.25 | −$13.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.58at 0.233Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?
- +$57.78at 0.248Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?
- +$54.28at 0.170Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?
- +$51.77at 0.219Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?
- +$51.64at 0.209Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 20%-25%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.207485848 | $44.35 |
| 10-18 11:05 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 10-18 11:04 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.1987825455 | $68.33 |
| 10-17 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.2481539162 | $54.49 |
| 10-17 21:05 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.55 |
| 10-17 20:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 10-17 20:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2246448011 | $80.07 |
| 10-17 16:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.255770595 | $57.69 |
| 10-17 13:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-17 13:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.2326822435 | $78.07 |
| 10-17 11:46 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.2383546126 | $62.91 |
| 10-17 09:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.2349439348 | $57.62 |
| 10-17 09:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.2498050112 | $51.24 |
| 10-17 08:06 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.2363463857 | $74.48 |
| 10-17 01:26 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.2477056029 | $103.76 |