PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.69. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.70. Range 0.64 to 0.73. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.69416416
0.70106522
0.72140662
0.9244705
0.9357763
0.9679842
0.9955897

Spread0.01Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68383383
0.67172555
0.66139694
0.6211705
0.6113719
0.6020739
0.4720759
0.2720779
0.0324803
0.0220823
0.0155878

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32383383
0.33172555
0.34139694
0.3811705
0.3913719
0.4020739
0.5320759
0.7320779
0.9724803
0.9820823
0.9955878

Spread0.01Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.31416416
0.30106522
0.28140662
0.0844705
0.0757763
0.0479842
0.0155897

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes3,313.78
LornaPredictsYes90.99
Dr.PNLYes64.38
eggsandoYes30
0x5cA7E46f9377E2101aaB6888cbFC4708C787e3e8-1769500946991Yes9.57
TooYoungToWinYes5
bechamelYes3.32
winexecutescaleYes3
Tenebrus7No1,101.16
conherenceNo557.72
acc42020No510.68
title1No309.99
webot-aiNo170
SuperTestsNo165
KimchiCapitalNo140
pootytherewardfarmerNo93.87
0x137410816BD83911FD81fD03dD89E4ecD34319a7-1764824238940No91
Bsau4No50.86
AJSVNo44.44
Mithrandir.No40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:26:03SELLNo0.3245$14.40
21:26:00SELLNo0.3245$14.40
11:36:36SELLNo0.3240$12.80
06:26:21BUYYes0.6440$25.60
06:25:37SELLYes0.6710$6.70
06:25:27SELLYes0.675$3.35
06:25:24BUYNo0.3345$14.85
17:00:52SELLYes0.623$1.55
15:26:39SELLNo0.2540$10.00
15:22:57BUYYes0.6710$6.70
00:01:45SELLYes0.7140$28.40
22:14:06BUYYes0.7210$7.20
17:11:21BUYNo0.2850$14.00
12:43:58BUYYes0.7240$28.80
07:21:43SELLNo0.3147$44.00
21:32:28SELLNo0.314100$31.40
11:43:55SELLNo0.2814$3.86
11:33:34SELLNo0.2840$11.20
11:32:10BUYYes0.7126$18.62
11:32:09BUYYes0.7143$30.53
11:32:09SELLNo0.3223$67.00
07:24:55BUYNo0.3120$6.31
05:00:01SELLNo0.320$5.90
22:21:06BUYNo0.3140$12.40
18:19:58SELLYes0.6985$58.64