PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.14 to 0.63. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19100100
0.2061161
0.2320181
0.2620202
0.2725226
0.325231
0.3953285
0.418293
0.58100393
0.59446839
0.8910849
0.925854

Spread0.02Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.17150150
0.1147197
0.10110307
0.07129435
0.068443
0.0540483
0.0430513
0.036519
0.02427946
0.0115961

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.83150150
0.8947197
0.90110307
0.93129435
0.948443
0.9540483
0.9630513
0.976519
0.98427946
0.9915961

Spread0.02Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81100100
0.8061161
0.7720181
0.7420202
0.7325226
0.685231
0.6153285
0.598293
0.42100393
0.41446839
0.1110849
0.085854

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dedidancYes2,654.93
xtxpleasecallmeYes237.84
0x8bb1…b0c5Yes228.57
uniloktijYes105.69
LornaPredictsYes85.09
GuyFromTinderYes82.8
pppnnYes76
acc42020Yes64.96
molodoyyYes58.62
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes53.34
pootytherewardfarmerYes52.71
Tallguy2527Yes40
PPMTYes34.76
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes24.62
0x1E0A87a0444EFF30015bd1877EF03C45f3fcB015-1771937690416Yes20
asd56Yes20
0x3d05…acdeYes11.43
ddd333aaaYes10
CarabaoYes9.09
louj75018Yes7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:15:28BUYYes0.1914$2.66
02:37:42BUYNo0.8530$25.50
02:37:42BUYNo0.8595$80.75
02:36:42BUYNo0.8520$17.00
21:57:42SELLYes0.1620$3.20
21:57:33BUYNo0.8320$16.60
20:55:25BUYNo0.84999999479$8.02
20:42:52BUYYes0.167$1.12
20:41:18SELLNo0.8450$42.00
20:41:16BUYYes0.1651$8.12
20:02:49SELLNo0.8420$16.80
20:02:48BUYYes0.1520$3.00
20:02:39SELLYes0.1220$2.40
20:02:37BUYNo0.8620$17.20
19:06:39SELLYes0.133$0.43
15:30:19SELLYes0.116$0.63
15:24:45BUYYes0.1230$3.60
15:15:18BUYNo0.8710$8.70
15:15:18SELLYes0.1315$1.90
15:00:16SELLYes0.1411$1.60
14:34:45BUYNo0.851$40.60
14:34:33BUYNo0.786997690548$37.48
14:34:31SELLYes0.2273573866$15.06
14:34:22BUYNo0.7663$48.10
14:34:13BUYNo0.758739759950$37.93