louj75018
0x480f54a786e6abbc6d8d1efcfd9a52b213767c91
- Realised P&L
- $32.82
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $244.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.19at 0.261Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$15.38at 0.694Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$15.33at 0.633US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.24at 0.740Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$11.61at 0.226Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:44 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.201 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | BUY | 0.8109999843 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.5729999845 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? | BUY | 0.899999892 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.2649998688 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 08:30 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:25 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |