louj75018
0x480f54a786e6abbc6d8d1efcfd9a52b213767c91
- Realised P&L
- $12.33
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 516
- Open portfolio
- $265.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded516
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.19at 0.261Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$28.95at 0.685Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$15.38at 0.694Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$15.33at 0.633US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$12.73at 0.748Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:41 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 07:39 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 07:39 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 09-12 07:37 | Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 14:07 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:06 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.3629998922 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:05 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:04 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.249 | $1.49 |
| 08-29 14:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 14:03 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-29 14:02 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119 | $0.59 |
| 08-29 14:02 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119 | $1.07 |
| 08-29 14:01 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.252 | $1.51 |
| 08-29 14:00 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.155 | $1.08 |
| 08-29 13:59 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |