Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-28
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.72. up 0.44 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.28 to 0.82. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	498	498
0.76	120	618
0.77	700	1,318
0.78	148	1,466
0.81	120	1,586
0.82	7	1,593
0.83	250	1,843
0.85	6	1,849
0.86	110	1,959
0.87	530	2,489
0.90	51	2,540
0.92	134	2,674

Spread0.05Mid0.72

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	328	328
0.66	135	463
0.65	59	522
0.64	352	874
0.63	700	1,574
0.61	300	1,874
0.60	56	1,930
0.59	99	2,029
0.56	300	2,329
0.55	222	2,552
0.50	132	2,684
0.47	300	2,984

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	328	328
0.34	135	463
0.35	59	522
0.36	352	874
0.37	700	1,574
0.39	300	1,874
0.40	56	1,930
0.41	99	2,029
0.44	300	2,329
0.45	222	2,552
0.50	132	2,684
0.53	300	2,984

Spread0.05Mid0.28

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	498	498
0.24	120	618
0.23	700	1,318
0.22	148	1,466
0.19	120	1,586
0.18	7	1,593
0.17	250	1,843
0.15	6	1,849
0.14	110	1,959
0.13	530	2,489
0.10	51	2,540
0.08	134	2,674

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Milksheen	Yes	791.76
Parz1vaI	Yes	638.32
tradetosurvive1	Yes	285
TheDao	Yes	205.33
SuperTests	Yes	200
balabalababalabala	Yes	199.99
chessplayer	Yes	180.71
Dondigidin	Yes	100
peterholmes	Yes	71
0x888888888	Yes	50
UranusProbe	Yes	31.66
ImSweating	Yes	20
beatrix99	Yes	20
0x5449…992b	Yes	2.08
l5wrGYrLGv	Yes	2.05
daniel122134	Yes	1.97
Stupendous-Innerstate	No	1,147.91
Olcan	No	628.5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	200
lissartter	No	132.77

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:59:42	BUY	Yes	0.7399998929	2	$1.52
21:57:04	SELL	No	0.27	77	$20.91
21:56:10	BUY	Yes	0.73	25	$18.25
21:55:58	SELL	No	0.27	13	$3.39
21:52:10	BUY	Yes	0.72	7	$4.80
21:45:42	BUY	Yes	0.71	30	$21.30
21:45:42	BUY	Yes	0.7199999808	2	$1.50
21:45:36	BUY	Yes	0.6924282492	638	$441.99
20:07:24	SELL	Yes	0.66	5	$3.52
14:25:06	SELL	No	0.31	50	$15.50
14:17:39	SELL	Yes	0.63	2	$1.37
13:00:00	SELL	Yes	0.63	4	$2.70
12:59:45	BUY	No	0.3699999935	54	$20.00
12:35:46	BUY	Yes	0.62	200	$124.00
12:35:46	BUY	Yes	0.6370139969	50	$32.00
12:20:13	BUY	No	0.3899999945	26	$10.00
11:36:03	SELL	No	0.39	125	$48.75
11:09:43	BUY	No	0.4	5	$2.00
11:09:16	SELL	Yes	0.66	100	$66.00
11:09:16	BUY	No	0.33	10	$3.30
11:09:13	BUY	No	0.3039648929	870	$264.42
04:48:10	SELL	Yes	0.69	50	$34.50
04:00:09	SELL	No	0.29	30	$8.70
04:00:06	SELL	No	0.31	30	$9.30
03:59:40	SELL	No	0.32	41	$13.12