Dondigidin
0x07b90f1e574b450a6a8a782f862d1a1e8f650fbb
- Realised P&L
- $7.9k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 877
- Open portfolio
- $28.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded877
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$677.89at 0.713Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$435.00at 0.070Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$431.77at 0.105Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$427.58at 0.875US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$363.17at 0.408Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 14:28 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-16 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 09-16 12:20 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 09-16 12:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 12:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 15:18 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $68.00 |
| 09-15 14:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $370.00 |
| 09-15 09:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 03:52 | Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $63.66 |
| 09-14 17:09 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 14:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-14 14:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 09-14 05:53 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $8.72 |
| 09-14 05:30 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $96.00 |