l5wrGYrLGv
0xb5c4eb8dd83402b22466504039bde5760043cb3b
- Realised P&L
- $85.27
- Volume
- $95.9k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$543.49at 0.908US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$84.08at 0.542Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$70.60at 0.147Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$46.95at 0.762Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$43.85at 0.691MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:24 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.379 | $1.14 |
| 08-03 21:46 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3799999879 | $9.46 |
| 08-03 21:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.55 |
| 08-03 20:47 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.52 |
| 08-03 20:35 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.922 | $0.92 |
| 08-03 20:29 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.9389999938 | $1.97 |
| 08-03 20:29 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | SELL | 0.978 | $0.98 |
| 08-03 20:28 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.214 | $0.21 |
| 08-03 20:27 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $2.95 |
| 08-03 20:27 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.9299999146 | $3.92 |
| 08-03 20:27 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 20:27 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 20:17 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.9806288036 | $10.98 |
| 08-03 20:17 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.259999986 | $12.30 |
| 08-03 20:17 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $53.08 |