PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

l5wrGYrLGv

0xb5c4eb8dd83402b22466504039bde5760043cb3b

Realised P&L
$85.27
Volume
$95.9k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9020.911$123.98+$1.29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1980.520$108.46+$67.10
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9430.945$106.35+$0.27
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9020.945$86.28+$3.87
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9570.989$83.12+$2.70
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8390.845$82.77+$0.64
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2380.214$76.94$8.49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7120.645$55.81$5.80
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9570.971$55.48+$0.79
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · No0.9870.980$54.12$0.39
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4090.300$43.59$15.90
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.5930.590$38.39$0.19
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7730.890$29.25+$3.84
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · No0.9990.999$24.96$0.01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6800.675$22.56$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:24Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.379$1.14
08-03 21:46Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3799999879$9.46
08-03 21:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.91$0.55
08-03 20:47Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.91$1.52
08-03 20:35Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.922$0.92
08-03 20:29Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.9389999938$1.97
08-03 20:29Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?SELL0.978$0.98
08-03 20:28Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.214$0.21
08-03 20:27Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?SELL0.984$2.95
08-03 20:27Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?BUY0.9299999146$3.92
08-03 20:27Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9879999992$4.99
08-03 20:27US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.25$1.50
08-03 20:17Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.9806288036$10.98
08-03 20:17US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.259999986$12.30
08-03 20:17US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.74$53.08