PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

l5wrGYrLGv

0xb5c4eb8dd83402b22466504039bde5760043cb3b

Realised P&L
$-290.78
Volume
$167.8k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8630.855$264.63$2.58
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8960.912$203.10+$3.60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7880.925$118.04+$17.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5650.625$104.91+$10.09
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1520.206$84.78+$22.35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8450.830$69.09$1.27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6930.715$66.39+$2.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8320.860$62.96+$2.06
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · No0.7180.760$51.34+$2.84
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5890.601$46.24+$0.91
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.8450.993$46.14+$6.87
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9840.991$45.05+$0.30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8840.875$39.72$0.44
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3680.385$34.49+$1.54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8520.841$29.73$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:57Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$0.29
09-18 00:24Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199998547$1.28
09-17 21:59Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?BUY0.7399998929$1.52
09-17 21:59Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?BUY0.95$2.79
09-17 21:59Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8699997705$2.54
09-17 21:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.9149999847$3.58
09-17 21:55Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$0.37
09-17 21:51Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.819999921$1.66
09-17 21:46Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?SELL0.93$0.52
09-17 21:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.905$0.59
09-17 20:09Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.85$3.32
09-17 04:35Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.91$0.37
09-17 04:30Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$2.79
09-17 04:18Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.91$0.78
09-17 04:18Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.91$0.78