beatrix99
0xdb24bf3df1ea39f30a2bb7ecb9bbd8dfc990496b
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $86.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,388
- Open portfolio
- $147.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded3,388
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.008Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
- +$612.43at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 20?
- +$529.28at 0.007Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
- +$488.31at 0.139Will Ernest Audino be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
- +$488.31at 0.139Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:14 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $50.04 |
| 09-16 11:50 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.61 |
| 09-04 17:46 | Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.41 |
| 09-04 17:46 | Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.41 |
| 09-04 16:00 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-04 16:00 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.735 | $3.77 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.736 | $3.76 |