PolyBot

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Traders

beatrix99

0xdb24bf3df1ea39f30a2bb7ecb9bbd8dfc990496b

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$86.4k
Markets traded
3,388
Open portfolio
$147.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded3,388
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Army Black Knights Win the 2026 American Conference? · No0.9400.900$22.50$1.00
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8600.840$16.80$0.40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes0.8100.810$16.20+$0.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? · Yes0.7770.725$14.50$1.05
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.8770.860$13.88$0.27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? · Yes0.8740.725$13.53$2.78
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7230.720$9.47$0.03
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6150.450$9.00$3.30
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election? · No0.8800.866$8.65$0.14
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes0.8540.885$2.21+$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? · Yes0.9100.915$1.75+$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat? · Yes0.1250.013$1.66$13.71
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? · Yes0.1250.040$1.60$3.40
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1430.305$1.45+$0.77
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.5000.243$1.22$1.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:14No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$50.04
09-16 11:50Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.37$0.61
09-04 17:46Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$1.41
09-04 17:46Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$1.41
09-04 16:00Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
09-04 16:00Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 5?BUY0.998$4.99
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 5?BUY0.998$4.99
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 5?BUY0.996$4.98
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 5?BUY0.999$5.00
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 5?BUY0.989$4.95
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 5?BUY0.993$4.96
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 5?BUY0.735$3.77
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5?BUY0.4$2.00
09-04 15:33Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 5?BUY0.736$3.76