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Traders

beatrix99

0xdb24bf3df1ea39f30a2bb7ecb9bbd8dfc990496b

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$105.4k
Markets traded
4,296
Open portfolio
$17.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,296
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
California voter ID referendum passes? · No0.7700.870$4.35+$0.50
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? · Yes0.6740.720$2.47+$0.16
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.510$2.42+$2.00
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.8800.230$1.15−$3.25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.945$1.05+$0.15
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? · Yes0.0060.018$0.74+$0.51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.470$0.59+$0.41
Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.410$0.52+$0.34
Will Tesla (TSLA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.410$0.52+$0.34
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.410$0.52+$0.34
Will Amazon (AMZN) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.410$0.52+$0.34
Will Meta (META) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.405$0.51+$0.33
Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026? · Yes0.1430.405$0.51+$0.33
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0590.104$0.32+$0.14
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%? · Yes0.0290.009$0.19−$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:26Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.48$4.80
09-20 14:08Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.85$1.39
09-20 14:04Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.85$17.00
09-17 06:14No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$50.04
09-16 11:50Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.37$0.61
09-04 17:46Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$1.41
09-04 17:46Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$1.41
09-04 16:00Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
09-04 16:00Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 5?BUY0.998$4.99
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 5?BUY0.998$4.99
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 5?BUY0.996$4.98
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 5?BUY0.999$5.00
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 5?BUY0.989$4.95
09-04 15:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 5?BUY0.993$4.96
Trader beatrix99 · PolyBot Pro