PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

daniel122134

0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee

Realised P&L
$7.8k
Volume
$5.48M
Markets traded
39,468
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded39,468
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9980.983$689.05$10.42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5380.605$432.04+$47.53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9940.993$251.43$0.27
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR? · No0.9980.990$247.50$2.00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3220.295$229.72$21.28
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0410.208$183.18+$147.37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5660.425$142.31$47.18
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · No0.6780.815$108.80+$18.25
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR? · No0.9980.990$106.08$0.91
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · No0.9550.999$92.00+$4.03
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.9300.094$82.03$729.74
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? · No0.7000.945$79.26+$20.55
2026 Balance of Power: Other · No0.9930.998$76.06+$0.36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2190.595$67.23+$42.52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2000.305$65.74+$22.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:33Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.12$1.20
09-16 23:31Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.13$1.30
09-16 23:28Will "Obsolete" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?BUY0.2299999693$1.50
09-16 23:28Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?BUY0.6199999587$1.50
09-16 23:28Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?BUY0.3099999793$1.50
09-16 23:27Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?BUY0.7599999595$1.50
09-16 23:27Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999768$1.50
09-16 23:27Will Hayden Panettiere rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?BUY0.6699999911$1.50
09-16 23:27Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?BUY0.2299999693$1.50
09-16 23:27Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.3099999793$1.50
09-16 23:27Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.4099999535$1.50
09-16 23:27Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.9$0.46
09-16 23:27Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6099998495$1.50
09-16 23:27Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.4199999496$1.50
09-16 23:27Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6999999067$1.50