daniel122134
0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $5.48M
- Markets traded
- 39,468
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded39,468
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.346Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.8kat 0.291Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$1.7kat 0.200Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$1.3kat 0.464Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
- +$1.1kat 0.744Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will "Obsolete" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Hayden Panettiere rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.46 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6099998495 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6999999067 | $1.50 |