PolyBot

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Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.10 to 0.53. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.25239239
0.2670309
0.2720329
0.3020349
0.3320369
0.3415384
0.6510394
0.9617412
0.9760472
0.9920492

Spread0.01Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.24360360
0.23168528
0.2285613
0.2066679
0.1845723
0.1320743
0.1251794
0.103798
0.0322820
0.0248868
0.0123891

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.76360360
0.77168528
0.7885613
0.8066679
0.8245723
0.8720743
0.8851794
0.903798
0.9722820
0.9848868
0.9923891

Spread0.01Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.75239239
0.7470309
0.7320329
0.7020349
0.6720369
0.6615384
0.3510394
0.0417412
0.0360472
0.0120492

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes876.77
uprunYes21
0x1E0A87a0444EFF30015bd1877EF03C45f3fcB015-1771937690416Yes20
ghorrockYes12.48
0x3E632502eBdD245e71b88B3099c995a57C35ddf7-1760673038043Yes10
SulkingCryptoYes2
pootytherewardfarmerYes1.95
ZhouCDNo193.24
LornaPredictsNo157.31
OlcanNo131
PMWolfNo106.96
FihdrzgddNo100
GuyFromTinderNo74.19
richyeeNo53.95
HaradwaithNo51
leadernewNo32.75
0xc5Da0479929C51dA75253B93E980686DC8085F86-1770930789178No31.85
0x6e4b…5aa1No7.78
lissartterNo2.11
peachgomaNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:11:40BUYYes0.2512$2.95
06:17:00BUYNo0.766$4.67
04:30:07SELLYes0.190$0.03
04:30:06BUYYes0.256$1.55
04:30:06BUYYes0.237$1.50
04:30:06BUYYes0.22999996937$1.50
04:30:06SELLNo0.7811$8.85
04:30:06BUYYes0.247$1.56
04:30:06BUYYes0.22999996696$1.46
03:49:13BUYYes0.2520$5.00
11:31:39BUYNo0.6196183206131$81.17
17:37:38SELLNo0.821929494435$357.65
17:37:38BUYYes0.26$1.18
02:10:37SELLYes0.1638$6.11
01:10:14SELLNo0.791$0.77
01:10:11BUYNo0.8153$42.78
01:10:11SELLYes0.21353$74.09
01:10:11BUYNo0.8123$98.61
01:10:11BUYNo0.790992572151$40.00
01:10:11BUYNo0.789999997678$61.39
19:18:05BUYYes0.2050587125403$82.60
19:18:05BUYYes0.2850$14.00
11:52:35SELLNo0.812$1.50
11:42:23BUYNo0.873$2.61
11:42:22BUYYes0.185$0.90