Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 40 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.48. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.46 to 0.72. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	20	20
0.51	142	162
0.52	70	232
0.54	60	292
0.55	196	488
0.56	8	496
0.71	20	516
0.72	250	766
0.74	200	966
0.77	210	1,176
0.87	769	1,945
0.88	901	2,846

Spread0.03Mid0.48

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	60	60
0.46	134	194
0.42	127	321
0.41	18	339
0.40	217	556
0.37	20	576
0.25	20	596
0.23	20	616
0.21	20	636
0.20	500	1,136
0.14	1,175	2,311
0.11	293	2,604

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	60	60
0.54	134	194
0.58	127	321
0.59	18	339
0.60	217	556
0.63	20	576
0.75	20	596
0.77	20	616
0.79	20	636
0.80	500	1,136
0.86	1,175	2,311
0.89	293	2,604

Spread0.03Mid0.52

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	20	20
0.49	142	162
0.48	70	232
0.46	60	292
0.45	196	488
0.44	8	496
0.29	20	516
0.28	250	766
0.26	200	966
0.23	210	1,176
0.13	769	1,945
0.12	901	2,846

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x2e36…299b	Yes	1,453.28
Belgaron	Yes	375.78
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	220
macrosteaks	Yes	184
Haradwaith	Yes	171.67
cambridgeisaac	Yes	168.99
cosmicsteaks	Yes	149.9
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	118.19
JAMJAMJAM4	Yes	81.8
LornaPredicts	Yes	80
7figtc	Yes	40
coypu	Yes	35.78
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	33
bananabreakfast	Yes	23.08
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	10
ddadsf	Yes	10
sadfsadf	Yes	10
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	10
aljarreau	Yes	7.51
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	Yes	5.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:26:46	SELL	Yes	0.48	11	$5.20
08:26:46	SELL	Yes	0.48	39	$18.80
08:26:43	BUY	Yes	0.49	90	$44.10
05:55:03	BUY	Yes	0.51	50	$25.50
05:09:16	BUY	No	0.49	121	$59.29
05:09:16	BUY	No	0.49	14	$6.86
02:07:39	BUY	Yes	0.5599999955	89	$50.00
01:16:58	BUY	No	0.46	100	$46.00
23:30:30	BUY	No	0.41	30	$12.30
20:22:30	BUY	Yes	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
19:47:09	BUY	Yes	0.6	8	$4.51
14:22:24	SELL	No	0.3968775	40	$15.88
14:17:40	BUY	Yes	0.5999999195	2	$1.49
13:21:36	BUY	Yes	0.57	40	$22.80
06:06:07	BUY	Yes	0.6812800236	1,453	$990.09
06:06:07	BUY	Yes	0.57	30	$17.10
21:46:57	BUY	Yes	0.5899997404	2	$1.00
21:45:52	BUY	Yes	0.5899999861	3	$1.70
19:25:09	BUY	Yes	0.56	40	$22.46
15:42:16	BUY	Yes	0.559999776	2	$1.00
12:13:00	BUY	Yes	0.5299998463	2	$1.00
03:01:54	BUY	Yes	0.5399998671	4	$1.95
01:40:51	BUY	No	0.4892	150	$73.38
22:02:54	BUY	No	0.46	10	$4.60
22:01:21	BUY	No	0.46	50	$23.00