0x2e364f642ec9e1700f747750facff417cfe3299b
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $5.9k | +$41.56 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $942.18 | −$47.90 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.255 | $901.68 | −$88.40 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.175 | $884.49 | −$105.60 |
| Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes | 0.681 | 0.585 | $850.17 | −$139.92 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes | 0.774 | 0.615 | $102.19 | −$26.52 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:20 | Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.7745935856 | $128.71 |
| 11-01 06:17 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $495.04 |
| 11-01 06:14 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $495.04 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.6812800236 | $990.09 |
| 11-01 03:11 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $990.09 |
| 11-01 01:54 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1958942452 | $990.09 |
| 10-31 04:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.9k |
| 10-31 04:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.0k |