PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.87. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.78. Range 0.63 to 0.88. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89175175
0.91120295
0.92593888
0.93100988
0.94171,004
0.95401,044
0.971241,168
0.983001,468
0.99281,496

Spread0.04Mid0.87

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85172172
0.84403575
0.8340615
0.827101,326
0.801341,460
0.795952,055
0.7592,064
0.74502,114
0.711102,224
0.46502,274
0.451002,374
0.421892,562

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15172172
0.16403575
0.1740615
0.187101,326
0.201341,460
0.215952,055
0.2592,064
0.26502,114
0.291102,224
0.54502,274
0.551002,374
0.581892,562

Spread0.04Mid0.13

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11175175
0.09120295
0.08593888
0.07100988
0.06171,004
0.05401,044
0.031241,168
0.023001,468
0.01281,496

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x84828283773829Yes1,619.99
recallcpYes304.26
lamykYes293.89
CRYPTUSPUBLICYes132
pppnnYes60.59
0xb9d6…e672Yes45
ImbaBYes44.71
balthazarYes9
99pppYes7.35
toshinyannyanYes5
0x31ad…4073Yes4.24
peter239784No1,190.58
OlcanNo997.17
xtxpleasecallmeNo197.04
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495No55
youyizhiguanggNo50
LornaPredictsNo10
uwummnyNo10
peachgomaNo5
random-random123No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:44:09BUYYes0.8899999934$3.82
17:44:09SELLNo0.1224$2.92
17:43:30SELLNo0.1330$3.95
10:34:30SELLYes0.8320$16.60
10:34:19BUYNo0.1420$2.80
10:33:49BUYNo0.1330$3.90
10:33:12SELLNo0.1630$4.80
00:44:18BUYYes0.8345$37.35
00:34:16BUYYes0.8320$16.60
17:56:04SELLYes0.88$6.40
17:00:46BUYNo0.1660156242151$25.00
13:05:38SELLYes0.8450$42.00
13:05:22BUYNo0.1550$7.50
01:50:46BUYNo0.1830$5.40
00:50:10SELLYes0.7950$39.50
00:43:22BUYNo0.1850$9.00
18:24:59BUYNo0.1142$4.63
18:21:43SELLNo0.155$5.50
17:33:29SELLNo0.1250$6.00
17:22:17BUYYes0.8163034904304$248.37
17:21:02BUYYes0.795$3.95
17:18:43BUYYes0.7945$35.55
17:18:43BUYYes0.7945$35.32
17:18:43BUYYes0.794$3.35
17:18:41BUYNo0.2190$18.90