Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.12 to 0.15. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	16	16
0.15	20	36
0.16	20	56
0.17	55	111
0.18	274	385
0.23	9	394
0.53	34	428
0.54	40	468
0.58	10	478
0.59	62	540
0.82	5	545
0.84	6	551

Spread0.04Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	146	146
0.09	59	205
0.08	138	343
0.07	20	363
0.06	1,864	2,227
0.05	171	2,397
0.03	595	2,993
0.02	352	3,345
0.01	19	3,364

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	146	146
0.91	59	205
0.92	138	343
0.93	20	363
0.94	1,864	2,227
0.95	171	2,397
0.97	595	2,993
0.98	352	3,345
0.99	19	3,364

Spread0.04Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	16	16
0.85	20	36
0.84	20	56
0.83	55	111
0.82	274	385
0.77	9	394
0.47	34	428
0.46	40	468
0.42	10	478
0.41	62	540
0.18	5	545
0.16	6	551

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x1fe79e1e6990cc1fa2d015280fe7fed530a07fa7-1792434693836	Yes	1,409.31
Dr.PNL	Yes	548.24
AJSV	Yes	154.54
0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364	Yes	85.71
tradetosurvive1	Yes	40
benngai	Yes	40
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	33.76
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	32.38
0xec6b…97df	Yes	15
ddadsf	Yes	9.99
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339	Yes	8.33
HerrieDavis	Yes	7.5
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	6
sadfsadf	Yes	1.68
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	1.45
Olcan	No	1,172.08
iutwpfal	No	666.48
LornaPredicts	No	207.31
NoTeacher	No	130.31
SuperTests	No	85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:30:38	BUY	Yes	0.12	5	$0.60
21:17:27	BUY	No	0.89	5	$4.47
21:17:12	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
21:17:09	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
19:42:03	SELL	Yes	0.11	1	$0.09
18:58:03	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
18:58:00	BUY	No	0.87	105	$91.60
18:58:00	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
18:58:00	BUY	No	0.89	20	$17.80
18:58:00	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
18:58:00	BUY	No	0.8799999584	19	$16.91
19:18:42	SELL	No	0.86	90	$77.40
02:10:53	SELL	No	0.84	3	$2.87
02:10:52	SELL	No	0.84	85	$71.40
06:44:24	SELL	No	0.84	30	$25.20
06:44:20	SELL	No	0.86	30	$25.80
06:44:15	SELL	No	0.87	30	$26.10
06:43:35	BUY	No	0.8262558502	160	$132.41
19:33:04	SELL	No	0.76	3	$2.23
19:32:52	SELL	No	0.8	47	$37.96
07:07:48	BUY	No	0.8199999168	2	$1.38
07:07:46	BUY	No	0.8141666667	42	$34.20
07:04:51	BUY	No	0.8099999081	2	$1.41
07:04:49	BUY	No	0.81	43	$34.83
06:33:22	BUY	No	0.76	44	$33.44