PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.25. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1455
0.157075
0.1652127
0.17126253
0.1840293
0.2411303
0.259313
0.5540353
0.56100453
0.5840493
0.59483976
0.846982

Spread0.02Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12190190
0.11635825
0.1021846
0.092951,141
0.063491,490
0.05611,551
0.041001,651
0.0361,657
0.021751,832
0.01161,848

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88190190
0.89635825
0.9021846
0.912951,141
0.943491,490
0.95611,551
0.961001,651
0.9761,657
0.981751,832
0.99161,848

Spread0.02Mid0.87

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8655
0.857075
0.8452127
0.83126253
0.8240293
0.7611303
0.759313
0.4540353
0.44100453
0.4240493
0.41483976
0.166982

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes499.87
tradetosurvive1Yes410.94
holmmanYes136.36
cigarettesYes90.64
0x9032…267bYes64.5
FihdrzgddYes50
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes40
kingtyroneYes40
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
kunsect9Yes40
Dr.PNLYes27.54
chessplayerYes25
pootytherewardfarmerYes22.43
0x170a587D1ef820F5b88e402c7dBDE3Fd4bfed0B6-1776938130758Yes20
GuyFromTinderYes8.82
PMWolfYes6.16
crossFiterYes3
dedidancNo1,003.44
AlAhmedaNo341.45
SuperTestsNo90

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:18:55SELLYes0.135$0.65
23:18:55SELLYes0.1340$5.20
14:25:57BUYYes0.1513$1.88
10:39:54SELLYes0.167017543957$9.52
10:39:54BUYNo0.844435771120$16.80
10:37:43BUYNo0.8320$16.60
10:32:43BUYNo0.8423$19.32
22:37:30BUYYes0.1223$2.76
22:37:30BUYYes0.1257$6.84
22:37:30BUYYes0.1320$2.60
22:37:30BUYYes0.1320$2.60
22:37:30BUYYes0.129999998621$2.70
21:25:36SELLYes0.120$2.00
17:29:56BUYYes0.1099999995136$15.00
02:03:27SELLYes0.128$2.85
01:48:26SELLYes0.1115$1.65
22:40:12SELLYes0.1613058679252$40.60
22:40:11BUYNo0.87869650$43.93
22:16:48SELLYes0.1960$11.43
17:51:56SELLYes0.191725411317$60.76
17:28:00BUYYes0.20540$8.20
17:18:53SELLNo0.8810$8.80
17:18:27BUYYes0.1840$7.20
17:18:26BUYYes0.1346148749317$42.66
17:18:26BUYYes0.1519$2.85