Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 405 | 405 |
| 0.22 | 70 | 475 |
| 0.36 | 11 | 486 |
| 0.37 | 13 | 499 |
| 0.38 | 100 | 599 |
| 0.39 | 300 | 899 |
| 0.53 | 40 | 939 |
| 0.54 | 13 | 952 |
| 0.63 | 30 | 982 |
| 0.71 | 20 | 1,002 |
| 0.73 | 40 | 1,042 |
| 0.74 | 500 | 1,542 |
Spread0.03Mid0.20
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 125 | 125 |
| 0.17 | 188 | 313 |
| 0.16 | 123 | 435 |
| 0.13 | 62 | 497 |
| 0.12 | 58 | 555 |
| 0.11 | 88 | 643 |
| 0.10 | 77 | 719 |
| 0.07 | 7 | 726 |
| 0.06 | 20 | 746 |
| 0.03 | 8 | 755 |
| 0.02 | 304 | 1,059 |
| 0.01 | 515 | 1,574 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 125 | 125 |
| 0.83 | 188 | 313 |
| 0.84 | 123 | 435 |
| 0.87 | 62 | 497 |
| 0.88 | 58 | 555 |
| 0.89 | 88 | 643 |
| 0.90 | 77 | 719 |
| 0.93 | 7 | 726 |
| 0.94 | 20 | 746 |
| 0.97 | 8 | 755 |
| 0.98 | 304 | 1,059 |
| 0.99 | 515 | 1,574 |
Spread0.03Mid0.80
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 405 | 405 |
| 0.78 | 70 | 475 |
| 0.64 | 11 | 486 |
| 0.63 | 13 | 499 |
| 0.62 | 100 | 599 |
| 0.61 | 300 | 899 |
| 0.47 | 40 | 939 |
| 0.46 | 13 | 952 |
| 0.37 | 30 | 982 |
| 0.29 | 20 | 1,002 |
| 0.27 | 40 | 1,042 |
| 0.26 | 500 | 1,542 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 410.94 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 50 |
| kingtyrone | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 40 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 37.19 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 25 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 22.43 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| Praescientia | Yes | 20 |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting | Yes | 13.08 |
| 0x4dc3…4702 | Yes | 5 |
| Majas | Yes | 3.1 |
| SingletonFamilyFund | No | 461.64 |
| Olcan | No | 135.09 |
| SuperTests | No | 90 |
| 0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834 | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 19.97 |
| AJSV | No | 1.46 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:15:49 | SELL | No | 0.81 | 6 | $4.86 |
| 13:27:51 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 30 | $23.71 |
| 12:55:18 | SELL | No | 0.74 | 4 | $2.94 |
| 12:54:33 | BUY | Yes | 0.21 | 6 | $1.26 |
| 12:49:00 | SELL | No | 0.76 | 20 | $15.20 |
| 12:48:49 | SELL | No | 0.83 | 50 | $41.50 |
| 12:48:49 | BUY | Yes | 0.1999401795 | 10 | $2.01 |
| 11:06:06 | SELL | No | 0.88 | 15 | $13.20 |
| 11:02:42 | SELL | No | 0.88 | 45 | $39.60 |
| 07:15:46 | SELL | No | 0.8266716667 | 60 | $49.60 |
| 06:59:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.16 | 20 | $3.20 |
| 02:22:34 | SELL | Yes | 0.1935366932 | 113 | $21.89 |
| 02:10:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.21 | 20 | $4.20 |
| 01:49:22 | SELL | Yes | 0.21 | 20 | $4.20 |
| 01:31:22 | SELL | No | 0.78 | 5 | $3.90 |
| 08:18:21 | BUY | No | 0.71 | 5 | $3.55 |
| 08:17:51 | BUY | Yes | 0.23 | 40 | $9.20 |
| 07:35:33 | BUY | No | 0.71 | 5 | $3.55 |
| 07:34:28 | SELL | Yes | 0.29 | 40 | $11.60 |
| 07:28:34 | BUY | No | 0.71 | 5 | $3.55 |
| 07:27:03 | BUY | Yes | 0.2545748988 | 74 | $18.86 |
| 16:54:01 | SELL | Yes | 0.18 | 10 | $1.82 |
| 16:45:45 | SELL | Yes | 0.18 | 30 | $5.38 |
| 15:07:39 | BUY | Yes | 0.21 | 40 | $8.40 |
| 14:58:00 | BUY | Yes | 0.2 | 19 | $3.80 |