PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9032ad983ee5a22bfd078ecc4fd3d4d69e57267b

Realised P&L
$2.92
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$153.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8490.934$27.76+$2.53
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8810.945$26.77+$1.81
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8900.900$26.10+$0.29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · No0.1040.085$14.37$3.23
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.8880.935$14.06+$0.71
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.4120.285$13.97$6.22
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.1880.150$8.84$2.18
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.3300.405$8.10+$1.50
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.1600.200$3.80+$0.76
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1900.177$3.55$0.25
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.068$3.22$0.59
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes0.0800.080$2.32+$0.00
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0500.049$0.97$0.03
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.3700.000$0.00$5.55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:44Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.89$4.45
09-17 06:41Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.9$4.50
09-17 03:11Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.89$25.81
09-17 03:11Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.08$2.32
09-13 02:13Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.952$18.09
09-10 18:39Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.16$3.04
09-10 18:37Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.1876594179$11.02
09-10 18:28Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.1699142518$10.03
09-10 18:25Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.13$2.47
09-02 18:01Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?SELL0.11$1.32
09-02 10:06Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?BUY0.73$8.76
09-01 10:02Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?SELL0.13$3.77
08-31 22:04Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?BUY0.45$4.95
08-31 18:15Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?BUY0.27$4.86
08-30 06:14Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.12$8.40