0x9032ad983ee5a22bfd078ecc4fd3d4d69e57267b
- Realised P&L
- $2.92
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $153.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.62at 0.301Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$11.91at 0.652Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.678US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.02at 0.482Will Prime Video announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
- +$3.54at 0.839US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:44 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 06:41 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.89 | $25.81 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.32 |
| 09-13 02:13 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $18.09 |
| 09-10 18:39 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.04 |
| 09-10 18:37 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.1876594179 | $11.02 |
| 09-10 18:28 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.1699142518 | $10.03 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.47 |
| 09-02 18:01 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 09-02 10:06 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.76 |
| 09-01 10:02 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.77 |
| 08-31 22:04 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.95 |
| 08-31 18:15 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 08-30 06:14 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.40 |