Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.19 to 0.34. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	550	550
0.29	524	1,074
0.30	80	1,154
0.34	40	1,194
0.35	11	1,205
0.36	9	1,214
0.38	500	1,714
0.39	13	1,727
0.40	46	1,773
0.41	100	1,873
0.44	500	2,373
0.73	17	2,390

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	504	504
0.26	330	834
0.25	307	1,140
0.18	44	1,185
0.17	41	1,226
0.16	193	1,418
0.15	20	1,438
0.14	500	1,938
0.13	30	1,968
0.10	61	2,029
0.07	7	2,037
0.06	40	2,077

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	504	504
0.74	330	834
0.75	307	1,140
0.82	44	1,185
0.83	41	1,226
0.84	193	1,418
0.85	20	1,438
0.86	500	1,938
0.87	30	1,968
0.90	61	2,029
0.93	7	2,037
0.94	40	2,077

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	550	550
0.71	524	1,074
0.70	80	1,154
0.66	40	1,194
0.65	11	1,205
0.64	9	1,214
0.62	500	1,714
0.61	13	1,727
0.60	46	1,773
0.59	100	1,873
0.56	500	2,373
0.27	17	2,390

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rocky42004	Yes	180.49
LornaPredicts	Yes	56.82
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	46
winexecutescale	Yes	44
tradetosurvive1	Yes	41.62
HerrieDavis	Yes	30
PPMT	Yes	24.96
frontiertrade	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	17.83
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	12.35
a5533	Yes	9.97
brightKong	Yes	9.36
79fsdfs	Yes	2.28
0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156	Yes	1.92
Olcan	No	142.55
pootytherewardfarmer	No	139.99
GuyFromTinder	No	77.81
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	75.6
burge146	No	41.37
kingtyrone	No	11.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:42:48	SELL	No	0.72	60	$43.20
04:09:01	SELL	No	0.72	4	$3.17
01:01:31	SELL	No	0.74	4	$3.26
01:01:28	SELL	No	0.74	160	$118.40
23:33:13	BUY	No	0.75	4	$3.30
23:33:10	BUY	No	0.75	100	$75.00
02:27:48	SELL	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
02:27:45	SELL	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
02:27:40	BUY	No	0.75	60	$45.00
06:44:03	BUY	Yes	0.229999997	7	$1.53
02:27:49	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
01:24:30	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
15:38:57	BUY	No	0.73	25	$18.25
13:42:37	SELL	No	0.73	8	$6.18
01:06:04	SELL	No	0.72	3	$1.88
01:06:03	SELL	No	0.74	67	$49.21
00:44:19	SELL	No	0.69	0	$0.13
00:44:18	BUY	No	0.7	5	$3.53
00:40:09	SELL	No	0.67	0	$0.09
00:40:07	BUY	No	0.69	3	$2.35
00:39:46	SELL	No	0.68	0	$0.01
00:39:45	BUY	No	0.6899999561	2	$1.10
00:39:43	BUY	No	0.71	40	$28.40
00:39:07	SELL	No	0.69	0	$0.12
00:39:06	SELL	Yes	0.32	5	$1.60