AlwaysTimed
0x13c27d1b038c20484ef3d8cf7e66725fcfccb7c8
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $57.1k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.111Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$226.17at 0.623Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$208.87at 0.582Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$132.55at 0.598Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$107.69at 0.873Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5413117568 | $240.34 |
| 09-17 11:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.544 | $241.54 |
| 09-17 10:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $434.98 |
| 09-17 10:17 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.05 | $49.95 |
| 09-17 10:12 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.54 | $299.72 |
| 09-17 10:07 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 09-17 10:06 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.76 | $456.00 |
| 09-06 12:35 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 09-02 08:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $75.36 |
| 09-02 08:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 09-02 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $159.84 |
| 09-02 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $79.92 |
| 09-02 08:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-02 08:42 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.91 |
| 09-02 08:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $366.40 |