Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.33. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.23 to 0.38. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.37	120	120
0.38	20	140
0.39	100	240
0.44	150	390
0.45	466	856
0.53	15	871
0.54	17	889
0.57	370	1,259
0.84	6	1,265
0.86	10	1,275
0.89	9	1,284
0.91	5	1,289

Spread0.08Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	62	62
0.28	1,104	1,166
0.27	7	1,173
0.26	20	1,193
0.22	37	1,230
0.21	38	1,268
0.20	18	1,285
0.11	5	1,290
0.09	25	1,316
0.08	157	1,473
0.04	10	1,483
0.03	1,307	2,790

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	62	62
0.72	1,104	1,166
0.73	7	1,173
0.74	20	1,193
0.78	37	1,230
0.79	38	1,268
0.80	18	1,285
0.89	5	1,290
0.91	25	1,316
0.92	157	1,473
0.96	10	1,483
0.97	1,307	2,790

Spread0.08Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.63	120	120
0.62	20	140
0.61	100	240
0.56	150	390
0.55	466	856
0.47	15	871
0.46	17	889
0.43	370	1,259
0.16	6	1,265
0.14	10	1,275
0.11	9	1,284
0.09	5	1,289

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
jckc	Yes	386.48
iutwpfal	Yes	370.37
ilovehistamines	Yes	194.99
AJSV	Yes	150.09
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	120.66
HerrieDavis	Yes	103.77
southparker	Yes	100
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	54.09
Miguel262144	Yes	22
pppnn	Yes	5.4
bechamel	Yes	2.09
rocky42017	Yes	2
Olcan	No	678.71
0x0615DE742F321F7AA243C15f9427680bd3Bd836f-1776937777651	No	370.37
LornaPredicts	No	262.85
balthazar	No	45.18
toomanyfent	No	23.99
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4	No	20
lissartter	No	20
gfdgfvfvssdd	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:11:27	BUY	No	0.64	40	$25.60
18:02:48	BUY	No	0.63	99	$62.07
15:37:33	BUY	Yes	0.37	20	$7.40
15:35:03	BUY	No	0.6799998912	1	$1.00
15:35:00	BUY	Yes	0.3197435766	195	$62.35
13:23:01	BUY	No	0.66	34	$22.73
08:49:43	BUY	No	0.64	35	$22.62
07:13:21	BUY	No	0.66	13	$8.85
06:16:46	BUY	Yes	0.3	51	$15.30
13:09:15	BUY	Yes	0.3	12	$3.60
12:11:00	SELL	No	0.66	20	$13.20
09:11:24	BUY	Yes	0.34	20	$6.80
09:08:19	BUY	Yes	0.3	130	$38.94
17:35:00	BUY	Yes	0.25	40	$10.00
16:51:02	SELL	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
16:30:17	SELL	No	0.73	30	$21.90
16:30:13	SELL	No	0.74	30	$22.20
16:30:10	SELL	No	0.74	9	$6.64
16:30:08	SELL	No	0.74	20	$14.80
16:29:02	BUY	No	0.6427418544	219	$140.65
06:39:53	SELL	Yes	0.27	27	$7.21
04:09:59	BUY	Yes	0.28	130	$36.37
23:48:34	SELL	No	0.72	1	$0.62
19:58:22	SELL	No	0.73	114	$83.24
19:57:20	SELL	No	0.72	40	$28.80