0x568b9fddd380c3b0391ff72778ef76fb4126f9f3
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $180.24
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.30at 0.384Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
- +$52.89at 0.339Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$43.82at 0.270Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
- +$27.80at 0.305Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$27.57at 0.692Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 22:03 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.39 |
| 11-02 22:03 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on November 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 22:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 15:16 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on November 2? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-02 13:32 | EWY (EWY) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 11-02 13:13 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on November 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 13:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2? | BUY | 0.61 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 13:03 | Meta (META) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.01 |
| 11-02 13:01 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on November 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.37 |
| 11-02 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.11 |
| 11-02 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.77 |
| 11-02 13:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on November 2? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.94 |
| 11-02 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.55 |
| 11-02 13:00 | Meta (META) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.83 |
| 10-31 02:41 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on November 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.89 |