toomanyfent
0x568b9fddd380c3b0391ff72778ef76fb4126f9f3
- Realised P&L
- $318.70
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $418.51
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.30at 0.384Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
- +$52.89at 0.339Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$43.82at 0.270Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
- +$27.80at 0.305Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$27.57at 0.692Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:35 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-18 12:10 | Will Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.92 |
| 09-18 05:39 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-18 05:33 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.594 | $11.88 |
| 09-18 02:48 | Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 00:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.28 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-17 21:27 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.00 in September? | SELL | 0.129 | $2.58 |
| 09-17 20:42 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-17 18:06 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.00 in September? | SELL | 0.846 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-17 07:20 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.601804 | $12.04 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |