PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ilovehistamines

0xec848d6a55f70cfe0b2a6920b417467434c37f71

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$14.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.4870.925$7.3k+$3.5k
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.6390.930$3.8k+$1.2k
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.4990.910$1.2k+$543.42
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.5140.945$1.0k+$471.82
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · Yes0.0680.165$207.83+$122.13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? · Yes0.0990.070$150.67−$62.28
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.6510.570$132.24−$18.84
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.6900.680$122.40−$1.80
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3900.380$76.00−$2.00
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.3200.330$64.35+$2.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes0.4300.525$52.50+$9.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.2600.285$28.50+$2.50
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026? · Yes0.0200.074$28.20+$20.58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · Yes0.0410.025$15.55−$10.21
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.3570.878$14.62+$8.67

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.112564614$95.95
10-12 15:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6711694333$524.00
10-11 15:36Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.55$5.50
10-11 15:36Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 14, 2026?BUY0.0246995147$1.32
10-11 15:35Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.4629786308$1.2k
10-11 15:35Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.69$82.80
10-11 15:35Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.3197435766$62.35
10-11 15:34Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.6512068966$151.08
10-11 15:34Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.0698255058$80.03
10-11 15:33Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?BUY0.357$5.94
10-11 15:33Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?BUY0.0664916186$14.76
10-11 11:40Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.4917608562$136.01
10-11 11:38Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026?BUY0.0087188$0.87
10-11 11:38Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.530266833$220.98