Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.320. down 0.094 over the period, from 0.414. Range 0.310 to 0.414. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.340	95	95
0.341	27	122
0.440	50	172
0.457	70	242
0.458	500	742
0.459	2,000	2,742
0.463	5,831	8,573
0.464	4,000	12,573
0.466	200	12,773
0.467	3,000	15,773
0.470	27	15,800
0.490	6,000	21,800

Spread0.040Mid0.320

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.300	30	30
0.299	50	80
0.292	51	131
0.291	129	260
0.290	784	1,044
0.260	144	1,188
0.252	5	1,193
0.244	137	1,330
0.239	5	1,335
0.219	50	1,385
0.191	5	1,390
0.153	5	1,395

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.700	30	30
0.701	50	80
0.708	51	131
0.709	129	260
0.710	784	1,044
0.740	144	1,188
0.748	5	1,193
0.756	137	1,330
0.761	5	1,335
0.781	50	1,385
0.809	5	1,390
0.847	5	1,395

Spread0.040Mid0.680

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.660	95	95
0.659	27	122
0.560	50	172
0.543	70	242
0.542	500	742
0.541	2,000	2,742
0.537	5,831	8,573
0.536	4,000	12,573
0.534	200	12,773
0.533	3,000	15,773
0.530	27	15,800
0.510	6,000	21,800

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Adrink3D	Yes	24,468.82
ratehikes	Yes	3,466.77
AMATEUR	Yes	861.02
RobertQ99	Yes	444.99
BornAgain26	Yes	419.4
AishahSofey	Yes	252.2
HerrieDavis	Yes	248.96
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319E02C398D7CF7c8e12-1767758271722	Yes	229.47
Jimmyneutrondu34	Yes	164.32
JustBot	Yes	112.8
tadinchnails	Yes	90.91
0x75d1…90da	Yes	80
Raketa09	Yes	65.99
0xd6fa…adaf	Yes	62
growwise	Yes	55.56
girthgod69420	Yes	55.28
benguezmen	Yes	49.15
V4grant	Yes	44.78
meow-123	Yes	42.2
0x26d6d2220fc0a87aD6F241087DAdD3D99fefe40b-1762618033430	Yes	42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:33:29	BUY	Yes	0.34	5	$1.70
22:25:24	BUY	No	0.657	5	$3.29
17:31:56	SELL	No	0.65	3	$1.82
17:31:54	BUY	No	0.7199999899	4	$2.85
14:44:05	BUY	Yes	0.3494451515	33	$11.53
14:33:21	BUY	No	0.658	45	$29.61
14:33:18	BUY	No	0.657	8	$5.27
21:15:11	BUY	Yes	0.3398367855	49	$16.70
21:07:38	SELL	Yes	0.2607336667	30	$7.82
21:07:15	SELL	Yes	0.2617579855	59	$15.49
21:05:50	SELL	Yes	0.3051935426	111	$33.75
20:28:18	SELL	Yes	0.2868595411	36	$10.25
18:11:53	SELL	Yes	0.2998269231	5	$1.40
18:11:15	SELL	Yes	0.3033344627	41	$12.53
15:50:35	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:29	SELL	No	0.61	20	$12.20
15:50:23	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:18	SELL	No	0.61	20	$12.20
15:50:12	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:06	SELL	No	0.61947	20	$12.39
15:41:24	SELL	No	0.62	20	$12.40
15:41:20	SELL	No	0.6205077263	453	$281.09
22:42:14	BUY	No	0.619	5	$3.09
15:12:09	SELL	No	0.612	5	$3.06
14:42:00	SELL	No	0.613	10	$6.13