Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.713. down 0.035 over the period, from 0.748. Range 0.686 to 0.810. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.725	40	40
0.726	20	60
0.729	15	75
0.732	104	179
0.736	51	231
0.747	59	290
0.770	100	390
0.775	81	472
0.776	56	528
0.777	15	543
0.793	8	551
0.807	11	562

Spread0.015Mid0.718

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.710	100	100
0.696	120	220
0.693	100	320
0.670	20	340
0.668	1,816	2,156
0.652	15	2,171
0.600	58	2,229
0.570	10	2,239
0.382	5	2,244
0.381	5	2,249
0.380	5	2,254
0.351	50	2,304

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.290	100	100
0.304	120	220
0.307	100	320
0.330	20	340
0.332	1,816	2,156
0.348	15	2,171
0.400	58	2,229
0.430	10	2,239
0.618	5	2,244
0.619	5	2,249
0.620	5	2,254
0.649	50	2,304

Spread0.015Mid0.282

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.275	40	40
0.274	20	60
0.271	15	75
0.268	104	179
0.264	51	231
0.253	59	290
0.230	100	390
0.225	81	472
0.224	56	528
0.223	15	543
0.207	8	551
0.193	11	562

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gambler925	Yes	5,675.38
ratehikes	Yes	3,466.77
puravida	Yes	3,068.62
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,237.73
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	1,134.34
tinman2	Yes	831.55
AMATEUR	Yes	649.52
CDAP1	Yes	462.64
BornAgain26	Yes	409.4
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	374
RobertQ99	Yes	310.99
Jimmyneutrondu34	Yes	164.32
0xC323C16b60aDb1C713eF2084916157eF90b1A9ca-1771891281181	Yes	154
S888	Yes	149.07
0xfd022428Bbc38a5280094C3734fef09Cefe7fb6A-1740768609191	Yes	135.43
JustBot	Yes	112.8
Haradwaith	Yes	104.1
pykue	Yes	101
tadinchnails	Yes	90.91
alijbee	Yes	90.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:54:42	BUY	Yes	0.709	20	$14.31
15:18:13	BUY	Yes	0.687	5	$3.44
14:43:54	SELL	No	0.29	6	$1.74
13:02:18	BUY	Yes	0.683999997	15	$10.18
12:25:12	SELL	No	0.271	1	$0.19
12:04:15	SELL	Yes	0.6689510393	217	$144.83
12:04:15	BUY	No	0.3269294439	21	$6.77
20:49:16	BUY	Yes	0.7239998465	1	$1.00
02:23:36	SELL	Yes	0.671	1	$0.42
01:49:33	SELL	No	0.275	20	$5.50
01:49:22	BUY	Yes	0.725	11	$7.71
01:49:22	BUY	Yes	0.706	20	$14.12
01:49:22	BUY	Yes	0.7059999914	31	$21.62
01:49:22	SELL	No	0.295	70	$20.65
14:01:42	BUY	Yes	0.703	20	$14.01
08:45:13	SELL	No	0.273	3	$0.75
08:45:10	SELL	No	0.274	37	$10.21
08:45:07	SELL	Yes	0.677	40	$27.08
08:45:04	SELL	No	0.275	20	$5.50
08:45:04	BUY	Yes	0.725	20	$14.50
08:45:03	SELL	No	0.275	46	$12.65
15:13:31	BUY	Yes	0.6998333333	120	$83.98
13:37:19	SELL	No	0.281	13	$3.55
13:36:24	BUY	Yes	0.6961740088	73	$50.57
12:59:51	SELL	Yes	0.67	17	$11.12