Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.778. up 0.337 over the period, from 0.441. Range 0.402 to 0.778. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.779	38	38
0.791	30	68
0.812	5	73
0.813	119	192
0.819	50	242
0.847	5	248
0.848	286	534
0.849	2,286	2,820
0.850	3,286	6,106
0.869	739	6,846
0.870	3,286	10,132
0.871	20	10,152

Spread0.001Mid0.778

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.778	54	54
0.766	30	84
0.635	15	99
0.634	326	425
0.631	394	818
0.630	1,750	2,568
0.619	50	2,618
0.570	10	2,628
0.543	1,136	3,764
0.542	2,011	5,775
0.473	5	5,780
0.453	5	5,785

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.222	54	54
0.234	30	84
0.365	15	99
0.366	326	425
0.369	394	818
0.370	1,750	2,568
0.381	50	2,618
0.430	10	2,628
0.457	1,136	3,764
0.458	2,011	5,775
0.527	5	5,780
0.547	5	5,785

Spread0.001Mid0.222

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.221	38	38
0.209	30	68
0.188	5	73
0.187	119	192
0.181	50	242
0.153	5	248
0.152	286	534
0.151	2,286	2,820
0.150	3,286	6,106
0.131	739	6,846
0.130	3,286	10,132
0.129	20	10,152

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Adrink3D	Yes	6,572.56
ratehikes	Yes	3,466.77
puravida	Yes	2,849.4
HerrieDavis	Yes	2,513.73
gambler925	Yes	1,870.5
tinman2	Yes	993.75
AMATEUR	Yes	861.02
BornAgain26	Yes	409.4
RobertQ99	Yes	310.99
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	266.41
AishahSofey	Yes	252.2
Jimmyneutrondu34	Yes	164.32
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	127.57
Senjor	Yes	120
woreste	Yes	119
JustBot	Yes	112.8
tadinchnails	Yes	90.91
0x75d1…90da	Yes	80
0xa288476992285Ab1535a19fF5CB5C31d494Bf80f-1766059352725	Yes	75.78
Raketa09	Yes	65.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:43:02	BUY	Yes	0.8079214466	2,849	$2302.09
10:27:58	BUY	Yes	0.738	5	$3.69
17:32:43	SELL	Yes	0.727	10	$7.27
16:27:39	BUY	Yes	0.75	120	$90.00
11:19:07	BUY	No	0.266	10	$2.66
09:42:39	BUY	No	0.2729999898	18	$5.00
07:42:31	SELL	No	0.205	4	$0.85
07:32:09	BUY	Yes	0.8019998669	1	$1.00
21:21:55	BUY	Yes	0.668960973	1,871	$1251.29
20:20:19	SELL	No	0.3313050847	207	$68.41
19:53:13	BUY	Yes	0.669	40	$26.76
18:49:43	SELL	No	0.3508699122	100	$35.17
18:00:24	BUY	Yes	0.6568452	1,000	$656.85
17:54:03	SELL	Yes	0.367	5	$1.83
01:07:48	SELL	Yes	0.391	12	$4.62
21:14:48	BUY	Yes	0.6289999959	32	$20.00
12:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.379	1	$0.38
19:35:34	SELL	Yes	0.548	6	$3.30
19:35:21	BUY	Yes	0.4976564519	60	$30.04
19:15:52	BUY	No	0.6622021834	92	$60.66
19:15:31	BUY	No	0.6284839334	103	$64.93
22:07:03	BUY	No	0.618	12	$7.66
21:26:19	SELL	No	0.451	55	$24.99
23:48:27	BUY	No	0.59	16	$9.71
23:47:06	BUY	No	0.5854251061	66	$38.61