PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CDAP1

0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5

Realised P&L
$46.4k
Volume
$8.13M
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$81.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3450.565$54.1k+$21.1k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5770.675$15.7k+$2.3k
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.4360.555$7.8k+$1.7k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.4930.974$1.4k+$675.83
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0290.331$1.3k+$1.1k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0540.064$827.96+$119.58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1520.887$355.05+$294.11
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.875$215.63+$80.09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.2000.026$35.43$237.13
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.015$32.55+$20.28
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0300.002$6.46$121.09
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$11.49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$48.9k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$477.52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0600.000$0.00$7.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 13:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$4.1k
07-29 19:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$3.9k
07-29 19:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.53$5.0k
07-29 18:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.6$4.8k
07-29 18:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.6$9.0k
07-29 13:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.245$612.50
07-29 13:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.244$610.00
07-29 12:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.244$732.00
07-29 12:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2425001423$3.2k
07-29 12:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.238$1.2k
07-29 12:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2415100242$4.8k
07-29 12:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$150.00
07-28 15:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.213$2.1k
07-28 09:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.258$857.08
07-28 09:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2600342685$3.0k