PolyBot

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Traders

AMATEUR

0x72863e1e35e70a7760acb64a150d819b1e59559e

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$45.2k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.1730.717$465.70+$353.22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7310.755$445.97+$13.97
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.955$259.51+$9.51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.835$233.80−$7.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8000.955$95.50+$15.50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2800.420$42.00+$14.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2420.183$36.70−$11.70
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1740.121$24.30−$10.50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.3000.105$18.90−$35.10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0960.093$18.70−$0.50
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1450.029$13.48−$52.62
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0670.020$13.05−$30.98
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3950.432$12.96+$1.11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2600.120$9.89−$11.54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.835$8.35+$3.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 12:04Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7599999976$180.00
11-02 12:04Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?SELL0.6689510393$144.83
11-02 12:03Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.0076968641$5.24
11-02 12:03Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.1113041812$23.24
11-02 12:02Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.76$152.00
10-21 08:16Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.969$4.84
10-21 08:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.92$250.00
10-21 08:15Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
10-21 08:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.965$289.49
10-16 09:30Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.1043875682$71.00
09-28 15:45Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3$54.00
09-23 14:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.86$240.80
09-23 14:11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.5156691111$104.77
09-18 16:20Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill?BUY0.88$12.32
09-17 03:38Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.1768658$176.87