AMATEUR
0x72863e1e35e70a7760acb64a150d819b1e59559e
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $45.2k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$593.37at 0.265Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$127.46at 0.711Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$98.94at 0.520Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$95.52at 0.272Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$87.45at 0.073Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:04 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999976 | $180.00 |
| 11-02 12:04 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.6689510393 | $144.83 |
| 11-02 12:03 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0076968641 | $5.24 |
| 11-02 12:03 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.1113041812 | $23.24 |
| 11-02 12:02 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 10-21 08:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 10-21 08:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.92 | $250.00 |
| 10-21 08:15 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 08:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $289.49 |
| 10-16 09:30 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.1043875682 | $71.00 |
| 09-28 15:45 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $54.00 |
| 09-23 14:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $240.80 |
| 09-23 14:11 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5156691111 | $104.77 |
| 09-18 16:20 | Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill? | BUY | 0.88 | $12.32 |
| 09-17 03:38 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1768658 | $176.87 |