AMATEUR
0x72863e1e35e70a7760acb64a150d819b1e59559e
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$593.37at 0.265Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$139.36at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$109.22at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$98.94at 0.520Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$86.92at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:38 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1768658 | $176.87 |
| 09-17 01:25 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.153 | $1.38 |
| 09-16 15:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $158.40 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.929 | $18.58 |
| 07-24 04:13 | Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0557496855 | $8.86 |
| 07-24 04:12 | Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.33 |
| 07-24 04:10 | Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 16:17 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.2612984 | $26.13 |
| 07-13 12:52 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.2276931818 | $100.18 |
| 07-09 12:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 13:43 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.971 | $24.27 |
| 07-06 14:06 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 07-06 14:05 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 07-06 13:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 07-06 13:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |