PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RobertQ99

0x836dcb5eef448dbffa12e2254f3d62c029e5af5d

Realised P&L
$-22.31
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$836.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.070$572.55−$71.01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0390.713$221.74+$209.69
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · No0.8200.848$33.90+$1.10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.055$8.25−$3.75
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.2700.000$0.00−$10.80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.5900.000$0.00−$59.00
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.3900.000$0.00−$11.70
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.5620.000$0.00−$66.27
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) · Team WE0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$31.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.4700.000$0.00−$7.52
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.4800.000$0.00−$7.20
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.8100.000$0.00−$21.06
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) · Invictus Gaming0.3800.000$0.00−$11.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:39LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.59$59.00
10-26 00:57China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$26.40
10-02 15:59China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
09-29 14:40China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$12.46
09-19 10:11LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.36$28.80
09-18 11:56LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.57$34.20
09-18 10:56LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.42$28.56
09-18 10:21LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.19$9.50
09-18 09:54LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.47$28.20
09-18 00:26China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$9.10
09-17 11:57LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.27$10.80
09-17 09:11Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)BUY0.38$11.40
09-17 03:01China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$4.90
09-13 12:18LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.39$11.70
09-12 13:06LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.47$18.80