PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RobertQ99

0x836dcb5eef448dbffa12e2254f3d62c029e5af5d

Realised P&L
$90.21
Volume
$31.2k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$397.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.105$252.11$17.86
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0390.320$142.40+$125.16
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.0900.575$2.88+$2.42
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.5620.000$0.00$66.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$31.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.4700.000$0.00$7.52
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.8100.000$0.00$21.06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$7.40
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner · Team WE0.3800.000$0.00$26.60
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$8.50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.5600.000$0.00$36.40
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · Team WE0.3600.000$0.00$25.20
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.2920.000$0.00$14.62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.5000.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 08:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.37$38.73
07-13 03:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.219$43.80
07-12 11:07LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.52$9.27
07-12 09:51LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.56$36.40
07-12 09:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.205$42.28
07-12 09:04LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.55$58.94
07-10 07:32Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.265$23.85
07-09 10:31LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.46$13.80
07-09 09:27LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.5$12.50
07-09 08:42LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.48$9.60
07-08 03:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.195$8.50
07-07 00:37United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29$14.50
07-06 03:15LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.83$9.96
07-05 19:43LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.95$11.39
07-05 08:09LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.76$15.15