0xfd022428Bbc38a5280094C3734fef09Cefe7fb6A-1740768609191
0xfd022428bbc38a5280094c3734fef09cefe7fb6a
- Realised P&L
- $209.63
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.52at 0.471Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$160.57at 0.563Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$107.36at 0.450Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$73.40at 0.630US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$61.40at 0.690Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5899999712 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7949999975 | $133.00 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999992 | $188.00 |
| 09-13 16:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.629999985 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 16:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6099999976 | $88.00 |
| 09-13 16:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999435 | $8.00 |
| 09-09 13:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $43.34 |
| 09-09 13:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999823 | $38.80 |
| 09-09 13:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9299999992 | $33.00 |
| 09-09 10:52 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999995 | $38.00 |
| 09-09 10:51 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999976 | $28.00 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $58.00 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999984 | $33.00 |
| 09-09 10:48 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $88.00 |
| 09-09 10:47 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.87 |