PolyBot

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Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-27
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.04 to 0.34. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.141,3131,313
0.155,1146,426
0.161006,526
0.183306,856
0.191,4688,324
0.201108,434
0.214008,834
0.222159,049
0.231,69910,748
0.2438811,136
0.348011,216
0.3540011,616

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1388
0.1212,59112,598
0.118,60921,208
0.103,90525,112
0.093425,146
0.042,50027,646
0.034,96732,613
0.029,35241,965
0.0113,75555,720

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8788
0.8812,59112,598
0.898,60921,208
0.903,90525,112
0.913425,146
0.962,50027,646
0.974,96732,613
0.989,35241,965
0.9913,75555,720

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.861,3131,313
0.855,1146,426
0.841006,526
0.823306,856
0.811,4688,324
0.801108,434
0.794008,834
0.782159,049
0.771,69910,748
0.7638811,136
0.668011,216
0.6540011,616

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
truthtellerYes2,144.7
xtxpleasecallmeYes369.15
rocky42015Yes279
scornedYes250
anoin123Yes246.59
Numitus1994Yes207.42
rousseauuuYes80.9
SC261001Yes72.62
0xB16B00B5Yes70.44
PitosyflautasYes70
ghorrockYes65.3
0xe81e43706a16a5f6F31C3E65B3492BDE630Fb1f5-1775920712702Yes55.56
pupka-zalupkaYes50
balthazarYes50
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454Yes38
pppnnYes35
BobbyBakedBeansYes16.3
0xca75…0a64Yes3.44
0xa5ef…2966No3,026.31
0xa169…1b73No451.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:37:09BUYNo0.8799999998451$397.19
19:37:07BUYNo0.879999999250$44.10
18:55:12BUYNo0.8728$24.46
17:38:46BUYNo0.8772$62.54
16:15:42BUYNo0.86103$88.58
03:48:58SELLNo0.8315$12.45
03:48:51BUYYes0.1715$2.55
03:48:49BUYYes0.163129411851$8.32
03:19:16BUYYes0.16250$40.00
23:54:00SELLYes0.15650$7.80
23:53:54BUYYes0.168$1.28
23:53:52BUYNo0.8417241379174$146.46
23:53:52BUYNo0.8430$25.20
20:23:58BUYNo0.8411$9.32
20:23:22BUYNo0.8411$9.24
20:01:27SELLNo0.8174$59.94
19:55:28BUYNo0.8330$24.90
19:55:27BUYNo0.820312532$26.25
19:55:12BUYNo0.8220$16.40
19:40:36BUYNo0.8130$24.29
19:40:36BUYNo0.8120$16.21
18:54:01BUYYes0.251$10.20
18:44:01BUYYes0.1930232558172$33.20
18:44:01BUYNo0.8218$14.71
18:44:00BUYYes0.1690443431388$65.61