PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe81e43706a16a5f6F31C3E65B3492BDE630Fb1f5-1775920712702

0xe81e43706a16a5f6f31c3e65b3492bde630fb1f5

Realised P&L
$32.82
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$7.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.0900.063$7.00−$3.00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.0070.001$0.69−$4.31
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1? · No0.0530.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$3.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · No0.0380.000$0.00−$1.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$5.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 12? · Up0.0690.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 13? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$5.00
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$1.38
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$4.91
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$5.00
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12? · Down0.0370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 13:28Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0900234525$10.00
10-13 18:38S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 13?BUY0.0241071428$5.00
10-12 16:24Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0586481108$5.00
10-12 16:12Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.0837583287$5.00
10-12 16:02NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.0689999992$5.00
10-12 15:59Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.037578626$5.00
06-08 12:05Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0529999654$1.38
05-20 20:03Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?BUY0.0529999513$1.00
05-20 19:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
05-18 11:48Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$10.00
05-18 11:47Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?SELL0.28482$14.24
04-19 10:31Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?BUY0.06$6.05
04-18 19:25Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?BUY0.0072511175$5.00
04-16 13:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$5.00
04-15 16:43Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.007$5.00