Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.007. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.005 to 0.012. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.008	17,267	17,267
0.009	21,071	38,338
0.010	30,016	68,354
0.011	2,094	70,448
0.013	7,100	77,548
0.021	72	77,621
0.029	80	77,701
0.030	321	78,021
0.033	10	78,031
0.034	217	78,248
0.037	1,500	79,748
0.038	1,702	81,450

Spread0.001Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.007	34,094	34,094
0.006	140,611	174,705
0.005	514,589	689,294
0.004	881,729	1,571,023
0.003	1,396,508	2,967,531
0.002	1,511,183	4,478,714
0.001	2,253,704	6,732,418

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.993	34,094	34,094
0.994	140,611	174,705
0.995	514,589	689,294
0.996	881,729	1,571,023
0.997	1,396,508	2,967,531
0.998	1,511,183	4,478,714
0.999	2,253,704	6,732,418

Spread0.001Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.992	17,267	17,267
0.991	21,071	38,338
0.990	30,016	68,354
0.989	2,094	70,448
0.987	7,100	77,548
0.979	72	77,621
0.971	80	77,701
0.970	321	78,021
0.967	10	78,031
0.966	217	78,248
0.963	1,500	79,748
0.962	1,702	81,450

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
foodenjoyer	Yes	72,631.83
debased	Yes	62,619.33
SheltonDoubter	Yes	44,657.88
Adrink3D	Yes	30,016.32
hippoka	Yes	29,999.97
Kevin-Warsh	Yes	29,019.5
m00n	Yes	25,423.52
0xC8cd72181faF60f6131A36A5680407875B447405-1787021104605	Yes	20,095.52
lastminwin	Yes	20,000
ethBELIVER	Yes	16,228.71
Donkov	Yes	12,000
0xf1e1…6f6f	Yes	10,792.71
YYW	Yes	10,000.2
0xE3d92FccAB9a9124b98ecE1386b5E1cc3e3a2F93-1773241487943	Yes	8,506.28
TBill1	Yes	8,204.5
XAE12Archangel	Yes	7,091.86
FlightRadar	Yes	6,400
Desy-1725192185234	Yes	6,311.4
Cashmeowio	Yes	6,276.7
RememberAmalek	Yes	5,999.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:41:57	SELL	Yes	0.007	111	$0.78
04:18:24	BUY	No	0.993	1,339	$1330.00
04:04:16	SELL	Yes	0.007	10,000	$70.00
04:01:00	BUY	No	0.993	50	$49.65
04:01:00	BUY	No	0.993	500	$496.50
04:00:58	BUY	No	0.993	10	$9.93
04:00:58	BUY	No	0.993	1,200	$1191.10
04:00:58	BUY	No	0.993	100	$99.30
04:00:58	BUY	No	0.993	101	$100.01
04:00:58	BUY	No	0.993	30	$29.79
02:28:51	BUY	No	0.993	1,500	$1489.50
02:14:58	BUY	No	0.9929999462	10	$10.00
02:14:42	BUY	Yes	0.008	150	$1.20
01:53:48	BUY	Yes	0.008	356	$2.85
01:42:22	BUY	Yes	0.008	125	$1.00
01:39:42	SELL	Yes	0.007	60	$0.42
01:39:42	BUY	Yes	0.007	3,145	$22.02
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.994	100	$99.40
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.994	1,200	$1192.80
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.994	500	$497.00
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.994	100	$99.81
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.994	40	$39.76
01:25:39	BUY	No	0.994	6	$5.96
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.994	1,500	$1491.00
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.994	100	$99.40